Match Info
NPBDate: 14 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: ZOZO Marine Stadium (Chiba)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Japan | SKY PerfecTV! |
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Chiba Lotte Marines |
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.25 |
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1.61 |
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2.25 |
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1.65 |
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2.34 |
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1.73 |
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 Watch |
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2.2 |
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1.62 |
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2.27 |
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1.68 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.16) |
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1.66 ↓
(1.71) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chiba Lotte Marines
42.3% | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
57.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiba Lotte Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiba Lotte Marines than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (-3.6%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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0.  Takabe A.
| 6.  Castro C.
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57. Ogawa R.
| 8. Asama D.
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6. Nishikawa M.
| 21. Kiyomiya K.
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51. Yamaguchi K.
| 99. Reyes F.
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32. Satoh T.
| 5. Nomura Y.
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39. Inoue K.
| 43. Mizuno T.
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25. Oka H.
| 12. Yazawa K.
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65. Terachi R.
| 33. Shinto Y.
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4. Tomosugi A.
| 56. Hosokawa R.
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| Pitchers |
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29. Nishino Y.
| 29. Hosono H.
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| Coaches |
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. Omura S.
| . Shinjo T.
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Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiba won 2.Chiba has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Hokkaido is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Recently, Hokkaido has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chiba won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 62:99. (average 3.1:5).Including home matches between the teams, Chiba won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:45. (average 3.2:4.5).
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Outrights of NPB for now
Nippon Ham Fighters: 14.49% Chiba Lotte Marines: 5.25%
Last Results with these Odds
Chiba Lotte Marines - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 44.09%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 55.91%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NPB | | | 13.05.26 | Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters | 2:3 | | 12.05.26 | Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters | 2:3 | | 16.04.26 | Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters | 5:3 | | 15.04.26 | Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters | 9:7 | | 14.04.26 | Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters | 1:5 | | 02.04.26 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Chiba Lotte Marines | 7:1 | | 01.04.26 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Chiba Lotte Marines | 2:4 |
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✺ - difficult match;
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