Match Info
LMBDate: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Alfredo Harp Helú (Mexico City)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Mexico | LMB.TV |
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Diablos Rojos del Mexico |
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Campeche Pirates |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.42 |
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2.8 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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1.4 |
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2.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.45) |
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2.78 ↑
(2.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 11.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Diablos Rojos del Mexico
66.3% | Campeche Pirates
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diablos Rojos del Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Campeche Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diablos Rojos del Mexico than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diablos Rojos del Mexico that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campeche Pirates than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Campeche Pirates could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
73.  Herrera B.
| 96.  Hollis C.
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0.  Liberato L.
| 24. Mitchell C.
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22. Cano R.
| 53. Castillo J.
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24. Singleton J.
| 84. Almonte A.
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31. Ornelas J.
| 4. Stevenson A.
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36.  Perez C.
| 97. Alvarez Mandy
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27. Barreto F.
| 36. Fabela J.
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6. Ruiz R.
| 13. Ibarra C.
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61. Gutierrez M.
| 73. Lopez H.
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| Pitchers |
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75. Rubio A.
| 63.  Maldonado A.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Bundy L.
| . McClendon L.
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Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: ) and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 2.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games. Mexico will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 96:77. (average 4.8:3.9).Including home matches between the teams, Mexico won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:36. (average 5.1:4).
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Last Results with these Odds
Diablos Rojos del Mexico - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.2%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| LMB | | | 04.07.26 | Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Campeche Pirates | 3:4 | | 03.07.26 | Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Campeche Pirates | 5:8 | | 24.06.26 | Campeche Pirates - Diablos Rojos del Mexico | 5:3 | | 23.06.26 | Campeche Pirates - Diablos Rojos del Mexico | 3:5 | | 22.06.26 | Campeche Pirates - Diablos Rojos del Mexico | 8:7 | | 30.04.26 | Campeche Pirates - Diablos Rojos del Mexico | 0:4 | | 29.04.26 | Campeche Pirates - Diablos Rojos del Mexico | 6:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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