Match Info

World Baseball Classic - Group Stage

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Tokyo Dome (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN, Kayo Sports
Canada	Sportsnet+
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Hungary	Sport 2
Indonesia	SPOTV
Japan	Netflix
Malaysia	SPOTV
Mexico	Disney+, Televisa
Philippines	SPOTV
Singapore	SPOTV
Taiwan	ELTA TV
Thailand	SPOTV
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports 1
World	Sport 24, Sport 24 At Sea


	Japan		Australia

	1	2
	1.04	13
	1.06	12
	1.05	13.5
			Watch
	1.03	11
	1.02	8.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.07)	11.63 ↑ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 12.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
91.8%

Australia
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.9%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Japan - Australia Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6.5, OT - Japan (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:3

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Lineups

Batters
16. Ohtani S.	64. Bazzana T.
8. Kondoh K.	16. Mead C.
51. Suzuki S.	2. Whitefield A.
34. Yoshida M.	10. Hall A.
25. Okamoto K.	43. Dale J.
55. Murakami M.	52. Wingrove R.
2. Maki S.	9. Perkins R.
6. Genda S.	34. Burke C.
12. Sakamoto S.	23. Kennelly T.
Pitchers
19. Sugano T.	. MacDonald C.
Coaches
. Ibata H.	. Nilsson D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 5.

Japan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Japan is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Japan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:7. (average 5.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan baseball
World Baseball Classic
07.03.26	Japan - South Korea	8:6 ✺
06.03.26	Chinese Taipei - Japan	0:13 ✺
Friendly International Baseball
16.11.25	South Korea - Japan	7:7 ✺
WBSC Premier 12
24.11.24	Japan - Chinese Taipei	0:4 ✺
23.11.24	Japan - Chinese Taipei	9:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWTLW
- Australia baseball
World Baseball Classic
05.03.26	Czech Republic - Australia	1:5 ✺
04.03.26	Australia - Chinese Taipei	3:0 ✺
WBSC Premier 12
17.11.24	South Korea - Australia	5:2 ✺
17.11.24	Australia - Chinese Taipei	3:11 ✺
15.11.24	Cuba - Australia	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

WBSC Premier 12
13.11.24	Japan - Australia	9:3
Asia Professional Championship Baseball
17.11.23	Australia - Japan	0:10
World Baseball Classic
12.03.23	Australia - Japan	1:7
WBSC Premier 12
11.11.19	Japan - Australia	3:2
Friendly International Baseball
03.03.18	Japan - Australia	2:0
World Baseball Classic
08.03.17	Australia - Japan	1:4

Japan - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide