Match Info

World Baseball Classic - Group Stage

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Tokyo Dome (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Sportsnet+
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus, Oneplay
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Indonesia	SPOTV
Japan	Netflix
Mexico	Disney+, Televisa, VIX+
Netherlands	ESPN 2
Singapore	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV, tvN Sports
Taiwan	ELTA TV
Thailand	SPOTV
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports 1


	Chinese Taipei		Japan

	1	2
	8.5	1.07
	8	1.09
	8.49	1.08
			Watch
	8	1.06
	8.9	1.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.38 ↑ (5.16)	1.08 ↓ (1.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chinese Taipei
11.4%

Japan
88.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

81.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chinese Taipei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chinese Taipei's form might have worsened.

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chinese Taipei - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5, OT - Chinese Taipei (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chinese Taipei (votes: 1 - 50%). Japan (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:7

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Lineups

Batters
1. Cheng Tsung-Che	16. Ohtani S.
17. Fairchild S.	8. Kondoh K.
77. Lin An-Ko	51. Suzuki S.
9. Chang C.	34. Yoshida M.
4. Giljegiljaw K.	25. Okamoto K.
39. Wu Nien-Ting	55. Murakami M.
90. Chiang Kun-Yu	2. Maki S.
27. Lin Lyle	6. Genda S.
98. Chen Chen-Wei	4. Wakatsuki K.
Pitchers
47. Cheng Hao-Chun	18. Yamamoto Y.
Coaches
. Hao-Ju Tseng	. Ibata H.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chinese Taipei won 1.

Japan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Japan is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Chinese Taipei won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 33:62. (average 2.2:4.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chinese Taipei baseball
World Baseball Classic
04.03.26	Australia - Chinese Taipei	3:0 ✺
25.02.25	Spain - Chinese Taipei	3:6 ✺
23.02.25	Chinese Taipei - Nicaragua	0:6 ✺
22.02.25	South Africa - Chinese Taipei	1:9 ✺
21.02.25	Chinese Taipei - Spain	5:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLWL
- Japan baseball
Friendly International Baseball
16.11.25	South Korea - Japan	7:7 ✺
WBSC Premier 12
24.11.24	Japan - Chinese Taipei	0:4 ✺
23.11.24	Japan - Chinese Taipei	9:6 ✺
22.11.24	Japan - Venezuela	9:6 ✺
21.11.24	Japan - USA	9:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WBSC Premier 12
24.11.24	Japan - Chinese Taipei	0:4
23.11.24	Japan - Chinese Taipei	9:6
16.11.24	Chinese Taipei - Japan	1:3
Friendly International Baseball
18.07.24	Japan - Chinese Taipei	8:0
Prague Baseball Week
09.07.24	Japan - Chinese Taipei	5:3
07.07.24	Japan - Chinese Taipei	3:2
Asia Professional Championship Baseball
16.11.23	Chinese Taipei - Japan	0:4

Chinese Taipei - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide