Match Info

WORLD: WORLD BASEBALL CLASSIC - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 20 March 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 1


	Japan		Mexico

	1	2
	1.37	3.2
	1.38	3.05
	1.42	3.01
	1.36	3
	1.36	3.18
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (2.5)	3.06 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Japan
69%

Mexico
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan's performance.

Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mexico might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan than the current prediction. (-29.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Japan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mexico than the current prediction. (+29.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mexico could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Japan - Mexico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Japan won 3.

Japan in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mexico is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mexico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Japan is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Japan won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 42-33.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan baseball
World Baseball Classic
16.03.23	Japan - Italy	9:3 ✺
12.03.23	Australia - Japan	1:7 ✺
11.03.23	Japan - Czech Republic	10:2 ✺
10.03.23	Japan - South Korea	13:4 ✺
09.03.23	Japan - China	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW
- Mexico baseball
World Baseball Classic
17.03.23	Mexico - Puerto Rico	5:4 ✺
15.03.23	Canada - Mexico	3:10 ✺
14.03.23	Mexico - Great Britain	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	USA - Mexico	5:11 ✺
11.03.23	Mexico - Colombia	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Baseball
30.07.21	Mexico - Japan	4:7
WBSC Premier 12
13.11.19	Japan - Mexico	3:1
Friendly International Baseball
11.11.16	Mexico - Japan	4:11
10.11.16	Japan - Mexico	3:7
WBSC Premier 12
20.11.15	Japan - Mexico	11:1
11.11.15	Japan - Mexico	6:5

Japan - Mexico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide