Match Info

World Baseball Classic - Group Stage

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Hungary	Sport 2
Japan	Netflix
Mexico	Televisa
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox


	USA		Mexico

	1	2
	1.19	4.9
	1.2	4.8
	1.21	4.67
			Watch
	1.2	4.5
	1.18	5.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.24)	4.89 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 11.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
80.3%

Mexico
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.2%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

USA - Mexico Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Mexico will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 8:4

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Lineups

Batters
7. Witt B.	16. Duran J.
3. Harper B.	56. Arozarena R.
99. Judge A.	8. Aranda J.
12. Schwarber K.	30. Kirk A.
. Bregman A.	44. Tellez R.
29. Raleigh C.	24. Alvarez Jr. N.
19. Anthony R.	3. Gonzales N.
25. Buxton B.	5. Thomas A.
2. Turang B.	. Ortiz J.
Pitchers
30. Skenes P.	50. Barreda M.
Coaches
. DeRosa M.	. Gil B.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 2.

USA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, USA is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, USA won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:30. (average 5.6:4.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA baseball
World Baseball Classic
07.03.26	USA - Great Britain	9:1 ✺
06.03.26	Brazil - USA	5:15 ✺
Friendly International Baseball
03.03.26	San Francisco Giants - USA	1:15 ✺
WBSC Premier 12
23.11.24	Venezuela - USA	1:6 ✺
22.11.24	Venezuela - USA	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- Mexico baseball
World Baseball Classic
08.03.26	Mexico - Brazil	16:0 ✺
06.03.26	Great Britain - Mexico	2:8 ✺
Friendly International Baseball
03.03.26	Arizona Diamondbacks - Mexico	3:6 ✺
LMB
30.06.25	LMB All Stars - Mexico	3:4 ✺
WBSC Premier 12
14.11.24	Mexico - USA	2:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WBSC Premier 12
14.11.24	Mexico - USA	2:12
World Baseball Classic
12.03.23	USA - Mexico	5:11
WBSC Premier 12
16.11.19	Mexico - USA	3:2
03.11.19	USA - Mexico	2:8
20.11.15	USA - Mexico	6:1
12.11.15	Mexico - USA	0:10
World Baseball Classic
08.03.13	USA - Mexico	2:5

USA - Mexico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide