Match Info

LMP

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Fernando Valenzuela (Hermosillo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Naranjeros de Hermosillo		Yaquis de Obregón

	1	2
	1.75	1.98
			Watch
	1.73	2
			Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)	1.98 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naranjeros de Hermosillo
53.1%

Yaquis de Obregón
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naranjeros de Hermosillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Yaquis de Obregón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naranjeros de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaquis de Obregón than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Lineups

Batters
56. Johnson D.	13. Cordoba A.
7. Atondo J.	41. Gaitan J.
43. Ramirez H.	10. Elizalde S.
37. Calhoun W.	30. Valenzuela R.
22. Cordero A.	25. Mendoza V.
51. Salazar C.	47. Gamboa J.
77. Garcia E.	15. Chavez S.
50. Murillo A.	8. Hurtado A.
74. Ramirez A.	6. Marquez V.
Pitchers
. Davila G.	53. Leyva E.
Coaches
. Castro J.	. Alvarez G.

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naranjeros won 3.

Recent performances by Naranjeros have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yaquis is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Yaquis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Naranjeros won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 83:74. (average 4.2:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Naranjeros won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:40. (average 3.8:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naranjeros de Hermosillo
LMP
29.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Yaquis de Obregón	1:7 ✺
28.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Yaquis de Obregón	6:5 ✺
27.12.25	Tucson - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	10:0 ✺
27.12.25	Tucson - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	4:5 ✺
26.12.25	Tucson - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Yaquis de Obregón
LMP
29.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Yaquis de Obregón	1:7 ✺
28.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Yaquis de Obregón	6:5 ✺
27.12.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Venados de Mazatlán	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Venados de Mazatlán	7:3 ✺
23.12.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Yaquis de Obregón	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

LMP
29.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Yaquis de Obregón	1:7
28.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Yaquis de Obregón	6:5
27.11.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	5:7
26.11.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	2:4
25.11.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	4:0
23.10.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Yaquis de Obregón	5:3
22.10.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Yaquis de Obregón	4:2

Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Yaquis de Obregón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide