The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puebla Parrots 40.4%
Diablos Rojos del Mexico 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
56.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla Parrots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Diablos Rojos del Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla Parrots than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puebla Parrots, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diablos Rojos del Mexico than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diablos Rojos del Mexico, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puebla Parrots - Diablos Rojos del Mexico Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:7
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Lineups
Batters
17. Rodriguez H.
27. Barreto F.
2. Alcantara S.
8. Sepulveda C.
13. Adames C.
22. Cano R.
60. Rondon J.
24. Singleton J.
19. Ramos H.
31. Ornelas J.
18. Castro L.
14. Arcia O.
55. De La Cruz M.
23. Flores R.
8. Cedrola L.
18. Mejia F.
12. Leyva S.
47. Gamboa J.
Pitchers
53. Gutierrez V.
96. Bauer T.
Coaches
. Orantes R.
. Bundy L.
Preview
Pericos de Puebla leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 3.
Puebla is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Mexico's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 111:152. (average 5.6:7.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 64:65. (average 6.4:6.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Puebla Parrots - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.42%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Diablos Rojos del Mexico - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.58%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.