The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toros de Tijuana 64.4%
Charros de Jalisco 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.2%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toros de Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Charros de Jalisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros de Tijuana than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Toros de Tijuana - Charros de Jalisco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
2. Celestino G.
26. Wielansky M.
74. Rodriguez I.
25. Walsh J.
10. Turner J.
41. Garlick K.
26. Barrel
5. Calhoun W.
41. Flores W.
3. Gil M.
38. Cordero F.
15. Smith D. Jr.
14. Perez H.
80. Jimenez G.
7. Guzman J.
7. Mejia A.
20. Telis T.
4. Herrera J.
Pitchers
18. Medina A.
93. Grotz Z.
Coaches
. Kelly R.
. Gil B.
Preview
Toros de Tijuana leads series 1-0. Second leg.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros de Tijuana won 4.
Toros de Tijuana is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Jalisco's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Toros de Tijuana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toros de Tijuana won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 99:68. (average 5:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Toros de Tijuana won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 53:38. (average 5.3:3.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Toros de Tijuana - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.2%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Charros de Jalisco - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.8%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Mexico
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Celestino G. 
Wielansky M. 
Rodriguez I. 
Walsh J. 
Flores W. 
Kelly R. 
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