Match Info

LMP

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Kino Sports Complex (Tucson, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Tucson		Jaguares de Nayarit

	1	2
	2.27	1.64
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
			Watch
	2.35	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 (2.29)	1.58 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tucson
40.8%

Jaguares de Nayarit
59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Tucson have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Jaguares de Nayarit have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucson than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Nayarit than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Lineups

Batters
41. Town R.	8. Sepulveda C.
8. Howard G.	92. Villarreal B.
36. Fabela J.	50. Rhinesmith J.
32. Ruiz A.	5. Vasquez N.
12. Leyva S.	74. Zavala A.
20. Rivera M.	28. Valenzuela R.
17. Chicuate M.	22. Flores A.
67. Mendoza R.	3. Acuna F. F.
62. Perez F.	29. Felix J.
Pitchers
63. De La Fuente D.	17. Delgado A.
Coaches
. Romero W.	. Rivera L.

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Tucson has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Jaguares has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jaguares might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 4.2:6.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tucson won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:14. (average 6:7).

Last Results with these Odds

Tucson - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.78%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tucson LMP
LMP
10.12.25	Tucson - Jaguares de Nayarit	7:10 ✺
09.12.25	Tucson - Jaguares de Nayarit	5:4 ✺
07.12.25	Cañeros de Los Mochis - Tucson	4:3 ✺
06.12.25	Cañeros de Los Mochis - Tucson	6:5 ✺
05.12.25	Cañeros de Los Mochis - Tucson	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Jaguares de Nayarit
LMP
10.12.25	Tucson - Jaguares de Nayarit	7:10 ✺
09.12.25	Tucson - Jaguares de Nayarit	5:4 ✺
07.12.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Águilas de Mexicali	3:4 ✺
07.12.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Águilas de Mexicali	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Águilas de Mexicali	10:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

LMP
10.12.25	Tucson - Jaguares de Nayarit	7:10
09.12.25	Tucson - Jaguares de Nayarit	5:4
06.11.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Tucson	4:2
05.11.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Tucson	3:5
04.11.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Tucson	10:2

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