Match Info
LMPDate: 23 December 2025, TuesdayLocation: Estadio Teodoro Mariscal (Mazatlán)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Mexico | LMP Canal Youtube |
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Venados de Mazatlán |
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Tomateros de Culiacán |
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1 |
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2 |
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Watch |
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2.5 |
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1.5 |
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2.55 |
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1.45 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↓ (2.55) |
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1.48 ↑ (1.45) |
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- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Venados de Mazatlán 36.9% | Tomateros de Culiacán 63.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venados de Mazatlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Tomateros de Culiacán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados de Mazatlán than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomateros de Culiacán than the current prediction. (-3%) 
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Lineups
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6. Castellon R.
| 23. Haro F.
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| Coaches |
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. Alvarez G.
| . Amezaga A.
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Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 2.Venados is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Tomateros's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Venados has had a series of away games. Tomateros is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Venados won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 71:106. (average 3.6:5.3).Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:47. (average 4.1:5.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Venados de Mazatlán - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.25%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
Tomateros de Culiacán - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| LMP | | | 23.12.25 | Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán | 1:0 | | 22.12.25 | Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán | 4:9 | | 30.11.25 | Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán | 4:5 | | 29.11.25 | Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán | 7:1 | | 28.11.25 | Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán | 2:4 | | 20.11.25 | Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán | 0:1 | | 19.11.25 | Tomateros de Culiacán - Venados de Mazatlán | 8:3 |
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