The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yomiuri Giants 56.3%
Hiroshima Toyo Carp 43.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yomiuri Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Hiroshima Toyo Carp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yomiuri Giants than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroshima Toyo Carp than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Yomiuri Giants - Hiroshima Toyo Carp Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2
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Lineups
Batters
9. Matsumoto G.
96. Nakamura S.
35. Izuguchi Y.
0. Katsuda N.
8. Maru Y.
33. Kikuchi R.
29. Dalbec B.
31. Sakakura S.
24. Ohshiro T.
9. Akiyama S.
2. Yoshikawa N.
94. Sato K.
52. Sunagawa R.
52. Suekane S.
69. Hirayama K.
32. Ishihara T.
Pitchers
20. Togo S.
65. Tamamura S.
Coaches
. Hashigami H.
. Arai T.
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ NPB PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yomiuri won 2.
Yomiuri has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Hiroshima is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Yomiuri has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Yomiuri has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 89:51 (averaging 4.5:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Yomiuri against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 42:25 goals (averaging 4.2:2.5 per game).
Outrights of NPB for now
Yomiuri Giants: 8.58% Hiroshima Carp: 2.08%
Last Results with these Odds
Yomiuri Giants - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.9%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.