Match Info

LMP

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Nido de los Aguilas (Mexicali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Águilas de Mexicali		Venados de Mazatlán

	1	2
	1.74	2.1
			Watch
	1.73	2
			Watch
	1.68	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	2.05 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas de Mexicali
54.4%

Venados de Mazatlán
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas de Mexicali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Venados de Mazatlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas de Mexicali than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados de Mazatlán than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

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Lineups

Batters
99. Gotta C.	51. Simington M.
2. Bernard W.	42. Guzman M.
52. Drake Y.	19. Pena . R.
25. Barrel	53. Espinal E.
11. Mejia A.	30. Urena E.
47. Florial E.	79. German L.
61. Gutierrez M.	70. Mora J.
7. Jaime M.	3. Alvarez A.
74. Leon J.	44. Escarrega C.
Pitchers
82. Zaragoza E.	10. Torres-Perez B.
Coaches
. Robles O.	. Alvarez G.

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 85:65. (average 4.3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Águilas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 4:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Águilas de Mexicali - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.11%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas de Mexicali
LMP
10.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Venados de Mazatlán	1:3 ✺
09.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Venados de Mazatlán	6:3 ✺
07.12.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Águilas de Mexicali	3:4 ✺
07.12.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Águilas de Mexicali	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Águilas de Mexicali	10:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWL
- Venados de Mazatlán Baseball
LMP
10.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Venados de Mazatlán	1:3 ✺
09.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Venados de Mazatlán	6:3 ✺
07.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Algodoneros de Guasave	7:6 ✺
06.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Algodoneros de Guasave	1:8 ✺
05.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Algodoneros de Guasave	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

LMP
10.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Venados de Mazatlán	1:3
09.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Venados de Mazatlán	6:3
06.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Águilas de Mexicali	0:2
05.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Águilas de Mexicali	0:3
04.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Águilas de Mexicali	2:1
22.12.24	Águilas de Mexicali - Venados de Mazatlán	5:2
21.12.24	Águilas de Mexicali - Venados de Mazatlán	6:0

Águilas de Mexicali - Venados de Mazatlán: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide