Match Info
Champions League - Winners stage - Round 5Date: 11 March 2026, WednesdayLocation: SUNEL Arena (Athens)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2 |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
AEK Athens |
|
Tofaş |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 165.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
AEK Athens
72.9% | Tofaş
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Tofaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tofaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.AEK Athens - Tofaş Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -6.5, OT - AEK (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:80 
#ad
Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
24.  Bartley F.
| 25.  Besson H.
|
33.  Charalampopoulos V.
| 22.  Blazevic M.
|
8. Feazell K.
| 30.  Korkmaz F.
|
0. Gray R.
| 2.  Perez-Kaufmann A. (C)
|
9. Lekavicius L.
| 3. Saybir Y.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
2. Brown III G.
| 1. Cengiz O.
|
7. Flionis D. (C)
| 0. Floyd J.
|
22. Ioannou V.
| 8. Gecim T.
|
4. Katsivelis D.
| 11. Kabaca E.
|
19. Kuzminskas M.
| 15. Kidd L.
|
21. Nunnally J.
| 6. Postel E.
|
1. Skordilis G.
| 24. Serbest E.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Sakota D.
| . Yilmaz M.
|
Preview
AEK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Tofaş is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).AEK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, AEK is considered a favorite.We predict that AEK will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AEK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 331:323. (average 82.8:80.8).Including home match between the teams, AEK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 73:70.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Watch
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
200% bonus up to $2,000
