Match Info

Proliga - Losers stage - Round 11

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Complexo Desportivo de Sangalhos (Sangalhos)


	Alianca Sangalhos		Sampaense

	1	2
	1.58	2.1
	1.6	2.14
	1.61	2.14	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 (1.6)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianca Sangalhos
57.3%

Sampaense
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianca Sangalhos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sampaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianca Sangalhos than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Alianca Sangalhos - Sampaense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Boban J.	2. Banaru V.
10. Gomes Abreu R.	20. Dusels A.
8. Madureira G. (C)	8. Goncalves D. (C)
34. Manhanga D.	4. Marques A.
16. Susa N.	25. Quissanga S.
Substitutes
5. Cotton R.	12. Abrantes P.
0. Lemos S.	22. Bastos M.
4. Rodrigues D.	11. Diop M.
18. Santiago F.	6. Silva A.
2. Silva E.	0. Silva G.
30. Vitosis L.	10. Terry M.
Coaches
. Semedo R.	. Figueiredo C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sangalhos won 2.

In recent matches, Sangalhos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sampaense has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sangalhos won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 981:921. (average 81.8:76.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sangalhos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 489:463. (average 81.5:77.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Sangalhos	2	1	1	154:137	3
7	Sampaense	2	1	1	167:170	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianca Sangalhos
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
28.03.26	Académica Coimbra - Alianca Sangalhos	68:76 ✺
22.03.26	Lusitânia - Alianca Sangalhos	89:69 ✺
14.03.26	Alianca Sangalhos - Galomar	76:101 ✺
07.03.26	Alianca Sangalhos - Benfica B	82:75 ✺
28.02.26	Santo André - Alianca Sangalhos	85:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWL
- Sampaense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
29.03.26	Lusitânia - Sampaense	87:60 ✺
21.03.26	Sampaense - Benfica B	67:77 ✺
15.03.26	Sampaense - Lusitânia	71:99 ✺
14.03.26	CB Queluz - Sampaense	76:59 ✺
07.03.26	Académica Coimbra - Sampaense	67:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
14.02.26	Sampaense - Alianca Sangalhos	75:66
29.11.25	Sampaense - Alianca Sangalhos	79:76
11.10.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Sampaense	79:84
21.12.24	Sampaense - Alianca Sangalhos	95:105 OT
26.10.24	Alianca Sangalhos - Sampaense	91:85
20.01.24	Alianca Sangalhos - Sampaense	76:71
18.11.23	Sampaense - Alianca Sangalhos	63:88

Alianca Sangalhos - Sampaense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide