Match Info

NBB

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena BRB Nilson Nelson (Brasília) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zivieri N. (Bra)


	Brasília Basquete		Bauru

	1	2
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.15
	1.35	3.4
	1.35	2.97
	1.33	3.2
	1.34	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)	3.19 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasília Basquete
70.7%

Bauru
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasília Basquete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Bauru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasília Basquete than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brasília Basquete that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bauru could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brasília Basquete - Bauru Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Cardoso B.	23. Andrezao
7. Corvalan F.	3. Brite D.
30. Daniel	10. Garcia A.
13. Paulichi R.	9. Infante P.
14. Silva B.	77. Materan J.
Substitutes
77. Beller	0. Eugeniusz M.
15. Carbonari R.	7. Gustavo
2. Crescenzi K.	14. Michelini M.
9. da Silva P.	19. Mogi Alves
1. Mosquito	22. Silva A.
6. Silva G.	6. Silva G.
27. Zago	8. Vithinho
Coaches
. Barbosa D.	. Cezar P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brasília Basquete won 2.

Brasília Basquete is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bauru's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brasília Basquete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Brasília Basquete has had a series of home games.

In this match, Brasília Basquete is a strong favorite.

We predict that Brasília Basquete will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brasília Basquete won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1526:1697. (average 76.3:84.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Brasília Basquete won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 752:874. (average 75.2:87.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Brasilia	2	2	0	195:165	1.000
6	Bauru	3	2	1	226:228	0.667

Outrights of Brazilian NBB for now

Bauru: 2.82% Brasilia: 2.82%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasília Basquete
Brazilian NBB
14.04.26	Brasília Basquete - Franca	78:83 OT ✺
07.04.26	Brasília Basquete - São José dos Campos	90:78 ✺
02.04.26	Pato - Brasília Basquete	58:67 ✺
25.03.26	Brasília Basquete - Flamengo	89:87 ✺
23.03.26	Brasília Basquete - Mogi	72:69 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW
- Paschoalotto Bauru
Brazilian NBB
16.04.26	Rio Claro - Bauru	95:63 ✺
06.04.26	Bauru - Franca	87:91 ✺
01.04.26	Mogi - Bauru	87:79 OT ✺
24.03.26	Bauru - Pato	94:70 ✺
21.03.26	Bauru - Unifacisa	96:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
29.12.25	Bauru - Brasília Basquete	66:71
29.12.24	Brasília Basquete - Bauru	77:67
15.10.24	Bauru - Brasília Basquete	93:91
28.03.24	Brasília Basquete - Bauru	84:103
09.12.23	Bauru - Brasília Basquete	82:73
16.01.23	Bauru - Brasília Basquete	72:70
26.10.22	Brasília Basquete - Bauru	66:86

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