The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casino Ginásio 25.7%
Maia 74.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
55.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casino Ginásio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casino Ginásio's form might have worsened.
Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casino Ginásio than the current prediction. (+21.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casino Ginásio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maia than the current prediction. (-21.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Casino Ginásio - Maia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:83
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Lineups
3. Akoi A.
34. Baptista L.
14. Barbosa G.
20. Ferreira R.
6. Espada T.
13. Guerreiro J.
12. Figueiredo L.
9. Heinz W.
10. Fortes E.
72. Lisboa T.
1. Howell A.
4. Magalhaes M.
23. Mendes A.
30. Oliveira S.
69. Moreira G.
17. Skoric G.
8. Neves B.
10. Tomley M.
24. Pereira R.
5. Valgode A.
15. Rosa R.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ginásio won 2.
Ginásio has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Maia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Maia might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ginásio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 470:496. (average 78.3:82.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Ginásio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 251:226. (average 83.7:75.3).