Match Info
Proliga - Winners stage - Round 9Date: 21 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste (Ílhavo)
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Illiabum |
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Maia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
|
2 |
|
 |
1.63 |
|
2 |
|
 |
1.63 |
|
2.09 |
|
 |
1.66 |
|
2.06 |
 Watch |
 |
1.67 |
|
2.05 |
|
 |
1.64 |
|
2.14 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.6) |
|
2.06 ↑
(2.05) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 149.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illiabum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illiabum, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Illiabum - Maia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:74 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
34.  Arikawe T.
| 9.  Heinz W.
|
10.  Martinho J.
| 72. Lisboa T.
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12.  Neto H.
| 17. Skoric G.
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30. Nunes F.
| 10.  Tomley M.
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3. Rayquawndis M.
| 5. Valgode A.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
35.  Alves D.
| 12. Caetano F.
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44. Caldeira S.
| 20. Ferreira R.
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7. Costa P.
| 13. Guerreiro J.
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15. Cristo R.
| 4. Magalhaes M. (C)
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9. Lopes P.
| 30. Oliveira S.
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20. Martins J.
| |
14. Sico M. (C)
| |
| Coaches |
|---|
. Fechas C.
| . Rodrigues N.
|
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illiabum won 4.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Illiabum won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1033:935. (average 79.5:71.9).Including home matches between the teams, Illiabum won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 488:410. (average 81.3:68.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 5 | Illiabum | 2 | 1 | 1 | 142:136 | 3 |
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| 11 | Maia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 105:96 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Proliga Basketball | | | 31.01.26 | Maia - Illiabum | 75:79 | | 22.11.25 | Maia - Illiabum | 71:64 | | 04.10.25 | Illiabum - Maia | 87:81 | | 30.11.24 | Illiabum - Maia | 87:56 | | 05.10.24 | Maia - Illiabum | 65:78 | | 20.01.24 | Maia - Illiabum | 73:88 | | 18.11.23 | Illiabum - Maia | 63:81 |
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