The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caxias do Sul 42.6%
Bauru 57.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.3%
50.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias do Sul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caxias do Sul's form might have worsened.
Bauru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bauru's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias do Sul than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caxias do Sul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bauru, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Caxias do Sul - Bauru Predictions
Users Predictions:
Caxias do Sul will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Caxias do Sul will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:76
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Oliveira T.
23. Andrezao
44. Ruiz Diaz F.
3. Brite D.
19. Silva H.
0. Eugeniusz M.
24. Stallworth S.
10. Garcia A.
10. Vezaro F.
77. Materan J.
Substitutes
5. Augusto
7. Gustavo
13. Guilherme
9. Infante P.
7. Kopper J.
11. Moreira
34. Luan
22. Silva A.
14. Miguel Santos
8. Vithinho
16. Rafa Oliveira
11. Tiago
Coaches
. Barbosa R.
. Cezar P.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caxias do Sul won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Caxias do Sul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Caxias do Sul has had a series of away games.
Recently, Bauru has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Caxias do Sul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1286:1475. (average 67.7:77.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Caxias do Sul won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 619:663. (average 68.8:73.7).
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Oliveira T. 
Ruiz Diaz F. 
Brite D. 
Materan J. 
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