Match Info

Lega A - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Cittadella dello Sport (Tortona)

Referee: Catani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Derthona Basket Tortona		Cantù

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.1
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.54
	1.31	3.33	Watch
	1.3	3.6
	1.34	3.41	Watch
	1.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 (1.31)	3.37 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona Basket Tortona
72%

Cantù
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Cantù has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derthona Basket Tortona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantù than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cantù could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Derthona Basket Tortona - Cantù Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5, OT - Tortona (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tortona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Gorham J.	11. Ballo O.
5. Manjon E.	12. Bortolani G.
17. Olejniczak D.	3. Chiozza C.
12. Strautins A.	23. Fevrier I.
1. Vital C.	20. Sneed X.
Substitutes
11. Baldasso T.	21. Basile G.
19. Biligha P.	10. De Nicolao A.
7. Chapman B.	32. Green E.
3. Hubb P.	36. Gualdi N.
6. Pecchia A.	19. Molteni M.
25. Riismaa J.	9. Moraschini R.
9. Tandia L.	90. Okeke L.
Coaches
. Fioretti M.	. De Raffaele W.

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Tortona is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cantù's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tortona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tortona is considered a favorite.

We predict that Tortona will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tortona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 85:79.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
13	Tortona	3	1	2	257:294	2
15	Cantu	3	0	3	237:269	0

Last Results with these Odds

Derthona Basket Tortona - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 70.63%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.03.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	85:78 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Olimpia Milano - Derthona Basket Tortona	85:77 ✺
21.02.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna	84:78 ✺
19.02.26	Venezia - Derthona Basket Tortona	87:95 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.02.26	Dinamo Sassari - Derthona Basket Tortona	82:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWW
- Pallacanestro Cantu
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.03.26	Cantù - Napoli Basket	94:77 ✺
09.03.26	Olimpia Milano - Cantù	88:86 ✺
15.02.26	Cantù - Basket Trento	108:91 ✺
07.02.26	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Cantù	89:87 ✺
31.01.26	Cantù - Venezia	81:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
04.01.26	Cantù - Derthona Basket Tortona	79:85

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