Match Info

Lega A - Round 15

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaTrieste (Trieste)

Referee: Nicolini A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Trieste		Cantù

	1	2
			Watch
	1.32	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.04	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.38	3.16	Watch
	1.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.35)	3.16 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trieste
70.2%

Cantù
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cantù has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantù than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Trieste - Cantù Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Trieste (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +7.5, OT - Cantù (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Trieste (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cantù (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Brown M.	11. Ballo O.
13. Candussi F.	12. Bortolani G.
37. Ramsey J.	10. De Nicolao A.
10. Ruzzier M.	32. Green E.
9. Uthoff J.	20. Sneed X.
Substitutes
23. Brooks J.	33. Ajayi J.
5. Cinquepalmi Z.	21. Basile G.
8. Deangeli L.	3. Chiozza C.
18. Iannuzzi P.	9. Moraschini R.
25. Moretti D.	90. Okeke L.
11. Sissoko M.
1. Toscano-Anderson J.
Coaches
. Gonzalez I.	. Brienza N.

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 3.

Trieste has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cantù is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Trieste may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Trieste is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 828:775. (average 82.8:77.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Trieste won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 426:402. (average 85.2:80.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
13	Cantu	2	0	2	157:170	0
16	Trieste	3	0	3	245:255	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Trieste 2004
Champions League Basketball
08.01.26	Trieste - Szolnoki Olaj	80:89 ✺
06.01.26	Szolnoki Olaj - Trieste	62:82 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.01.26	Basket Trento - Trieste	89:87 ✺
29.12.25	Trieste - Virtus Bologna	66:74 ✺
21.12.25	Varese - Trieste	84:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL
- Pallacanestro Cantu
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.01.26	Cantù - Derthona Basket Tortona	79:85 ✺
28.12.25	Napoli Basket - Cantù	98:86 ✺
20.12.25	Cantù - Olimpia Milano	89:94 ✺
14.12.25	Treviso Basket - Cantù	86:81 ✺
07.12.25	Venezia - Cantù	101:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
12.06.24	Trieste - Cantù	83:72
10.06.24	Trieste - Cantù	73:74
06.06.24	Cantù - Trieste	73:83
04.06.24	Cantù - Trieste	65:72
17.02.24	Cantù - Trieste	96:92
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.03.21	Trieste - Cantù	82:78
16.12.20	Cantù - Trieste	73:67

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