Match Info

Premier League Women

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Krylatskoe Sport Palace (Moscow)


	MBA Moscow		Nadezhda Orenburg

	1	X	2
	1.5		2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)		2.42 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 138.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MBA Moscow
61.7%

Nadezhda Orenburg
38.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MBA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Nadezhda Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MBA Moscow than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MBA Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nadezhda Orenburg than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nadezhda Orenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MBA Moscow - Nadezhda Orenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:67

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Cheren V.	4. Beverly-Kelley A.
1. Frolkina E.	7. Kolosovskaia D.
41. Kozhukhar V.	9. Komarova A.
29. Krymova M.	22. Komarova E.
77. Savkovich K.	21. Zotkina A.
Substitutes
25. Korshakova M.	27. Afanasenko K.
16. Koshechkina E.	5. Badina A.
31. Loginova V.	1. Kryzhanouskaya M.
27. Savukova Y.	55. Kuznetsova P.
97. Ushakova M.	13. Monroe J.
9. Yazykova N.	23. Pashkovskaya Y.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MBA won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

MBA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

MBA will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that MBA will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MBA won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1357:1307. (average 67.9:65.4).

Including home matches between the teams, MBA won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 746:711. (average 67.8:64.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Nadezhda W	3	2	1	199:201	5
9	MBA Moscow W	2	2	0	149:117	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MBA Moscow Women
Russian Cup Basketball Women
23.12.25	MBA Moscow - Spartak Moscow	75:76 ✺
Russian Premier League Basketball Women
20.12.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - MBA Moscow	64:82 ✺
16.12.25	MBA Moscow - Nika Syktyvkar	58:74 ✺
12.12.25	MBA Moscow - Dynamo Novosibirsk	88:69 ✺
08.12.25	MBA Moscow - Neftyanik Omsk	71:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW
- Nadezhda Orenburg
Russian Cup Basketball Women
24.12.25	Nadezhda Orenburg - Nika Syktyvkar	63:74 ✺
Russian Premier League Basketball Women
20.12.25	Nadezhda Orenburg - Dynamo Kursk	62:77 ✺
16.12.25	Nadezhda Orenburg - Spartak Moscow	90:62 ✺
12.12.25	Samara - Nadezhda Orenburg	54:88 ✺
08.12.25	Nadezhda Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow	67:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League Basketball Women
21.10.25	Nadezhda Orenburg - MBA Moscow	58:70
17.04.25	Nadezhda Orenburg - MBA Moscow	80:66
15.04.25	Nadezhda Orenburg - MBA Moscow	63:49
11.04.25	MBA Moscow - Nadezhda Orenburg	82:79 OT
09.04.25	MBA Moscow - Nadezhda Orenburg	53:78
06.03.25	MBA Moscow - Nadezhda Orenburg	58:45
13.02.25	Nadezhda Orenburg - MBA Moscow	81:75

MBA Moscow - Nadezhda Orenburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide