Match Info

VTB United League

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Krylatskoe Sport Palace (Moscow)


	MBA Moscow		Uralmash

	1	2
	1.86	1.88
	1.85	1.99	Watch
	1.73	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.61)	1.97 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MBA Moscow
52.1%

Uralmash
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MBA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Uralmash has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MBA Moscow than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MBA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uralmash than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Uralmash, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

MBA Moscow - Uralmash Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Barashkov M.	12. Belyankov E.
16. Trushkin V.	2. Ellis O.
18. Voronov E.	23. Kardanakhishvili A.
8. Zaytsev V.	25. Nelson T.
20. Zubkov A.	1. Nevels G.
Substitutes
21. Balashov S.	20. Dalton H.
14. Ismailov P.	15. Douglas J.
4. Komolov A.	24. Gerasimov T.
23. Lichutin M.	9. Ivlev V.
95. Pevnev D.	11. Novikov I.
28. Platunov A.	10. Pisklov K.
1. Savkov P.	7. Pynko I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MBA won 3.

Recent performances by MBA have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Uralmash is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Uralmash may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, MBA has had a series of home games.

MBA might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MBA won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1566:1656. (average 78.3:82.8).

Including home matches between the teams, MBA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 578:592. (average 82.6:84.6).

Outrights of VTB United League for now

Uralmash Ekaterinburg: 0.88% MBA Moscow: 0.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
8	MBA Moscow	3	1	2	245:265	0.333
9	Uralmash Ekaterinburg	4	1	3	304:343	0.250

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MBA Moscow
VTB United League
18.03.26	MBA Moscow - Zenit Saint Petersburg	65:83 ✺
Russian Cup Basketball
15.03.26	Nizhny Novgorod - MBA Moscow	67:68 ✺
13.03.26	MBA Moscow - CSKA 2	85:77 ✺
VTB United League
10.03.26	MBA Moscow - UNICS	56:89 ✺
07.03.26	MBA Moscow - Parma Perm	78:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW
- BC Uralmash Ekaterinburg
Russian Winline Basket Cup
17.03.26	Uralmash - Igokea	84:82 ✺
VTB United League
13.03.26	Uralmash - Parma Perm	79:87 ✺
10.03.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Uralmash	67:72 ✺
07.03.26	Avtodor Saratov - Uralmash	53:102 ✺
04.03.26	Samara - Uralmash	69:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VTB United League
22.02.26	Uralmash - MBA Moscow	75:84
04.01.26	MBA Moscow - Uralmash	73:68
03.10.25	Uralmash - MBA Moscow	77:83
27.03.25	MBA Moscow - Uralmash	79:85
Russian Cup Basketball
14.03.25	Uralmash - MBA Moscow	84:68
VTB United League
09.02.25	Uralmash - MBA Moscow	65:71
26.12.24	Uralmash - MBA Moscow	85:60

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