Match Info

VTB United League

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Nagorny Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)


	Nizhny Novgorod		Uralmash

	1	2
	3.21	1.29
	3.13	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.47)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod
29.6%

Uralmash
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nizhny Novgorod's form might have worsened.

Uralmash has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uralmash's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nizhny Novgorod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uralmash than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Uralmash, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nizhny Novgorod - Uralmash Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Baburin E.	2. Ellis O.
9. Karpenkov I.	25. Nelson T.
7. Khomenko A.	1. Nevels G.
21. Popov K.	11. Novikov I.
24. Shenderov A.	8. Petenev A.
Substitutes
13. Khvostov D.	20. Dalton H.
33. Khyakli N.	15. Douglas J.
30. Klyuchenkov D.	24. Gerasimov T.
2. Lukacs N.	9. Ivlev V.
99. Samoylenko T.	23. Kardanakhishvili A.
6. Yakushin T.	10. Pisklov K.
55. Zotkin S.	7. Pynko I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nizhny Novgorod won 0.

Nizhny Novgorod is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Uralmash has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Uralmash may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Uralmash is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nizhny Novgorod won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 778:912. (average 70.7:82.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nizhny Novgorod won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 422:495. (average 70.3:82.5).

Outrights of VTB United League for now

Uralmash Ekaterinburg: 0.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
9	Uralmash Ekaterinburg	4	1	3	304:343	0.250

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Nizhny Novgorod
VTB United League
06.03.26	Nizhny Novgorod - CSKA Moscow	62:78 ✺
21.02.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Nizhny Novgorod	106:77 ✺
18.02.26	Samara - Nizhny Novgorod	87:94 ✺
08.02.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Parma Perm	62:87 ✺
04.02.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Lokomotiv-Kuban	82:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- BC Uralmash Ekaterinburg
VTB United League
07.03.26	Avtodor Saratov - Uralmash	53:102 ✺
04.03.26	Samara - Uralmash	69:73 ✺
22.02.26	Uralmash - MBA Moscow	75:84 ✺
19.02.26	Uralmash - Zenit Saint Petersburg	60:78 ✺
Russian Winline Basket Cup
12.02.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - Uralmash	67:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VTB United League
10.01.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Uralmash	73:76
23.11.25	Uralmash - Nizhny Novgorod	73:72
Russian Cup Basketball
16.03.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Uralmash	59:78
VTB United League
11.03.25	Uralmash - Nizhny Novgorod	84:58
18.01.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Uralmash	74:79
17.11.24	Uralmash - Nizhny Novgorod	93:81 OT
02.10.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Uralmash	75:89

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