Match Info

VTB United League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: DIVS Sport Hall (Yekaterinburg)


	Uralmash		Zenit Saint Petersburg

	1	2
	3.72	1.22
	3.25	1.36	Watch
	2.55	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.55)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uralmash
29.7%

Zenit Saint Petersburg
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uralmash has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uralmash's form might have worsened.

Zenit Saint Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zenit Saint Petersburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uralmash than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uralmash, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zenit Saint Petersburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Uralmash - Zenit Saint Petersburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zenit (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Zenit Saint Petersburg will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Belyankov E.	0. Frazier T.
2. Ellis O.	9. Juzang J.
24. Gerasimov T.	10. Martyuk A.
25. Nelson T.	00. Roberson A.
1. Nevels G.	12. Zhbanov G.
Substitutes
20. Dalton H.	35. Emchenko V.
15. Douglas J.	17. Moon X.
23. Kardanakhishvili A.	99. Samanic L.
11. Novikov I.	1. Shcherbenev A.
8. Petenev A.	13. Uzinskii D.
10. Pisklov K.	33. Vorontsevich A.
21. Popov K.	97. Zemsky P.

Preview

Zenit Petersburg leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uralmash won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Zenit has had a series of home games.

In this match, Zenit is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uralmash won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1461:1600. (average 73.1:80).

Including home matches between the teams, Uralmash won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 546:604. (average 68.3:75.5).

Outrights of VTB United League for now

Zenit Petersburg: 13.24% Uralmash Ekaterinburg: 0.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Zenit Petersburg	4	3	1	342:319	0.750
9	Uralmash Ekaterinburg	4	1	3	304:343	0.250

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Uralmash Ekaterinburg
VTB United League
02.05.26	Uralmash - Zenit Saint Petersburg	65:82 ✺
28.04.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - Uralmash	92:64 ✺
26.04.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - Uralmash	78:85 ✺
22.04.26	Uralmash - Avtodor Saratov	86:54 ✺
15.04.26	Samara - Uralmash	74:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWWW
- BC Zenit Saint Petersburg
VTB United League
02.05.26	Uralmash - Zenit Saint Petersburg	65:82 ✺
28.04.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - Uralmash	92:64 ✺
26.04.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - Uralmash	78:85 ✺
22.04.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - CSKA Moscow	74:83 ✺
15.04.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - UNICS	86:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VTB United League
02.05.26	Uralmash - Zenit Saint Petersburg	65:82
28.04.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - Uralmash	92:64
26.04.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - Uralmash	78:85
07.04.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - Uralmash	69:82
19.02.26	Uralmash - Zenit Saint Petersburg	60:78
Russian Winline Basket Cup
12.02.26	Zenit Saint Petersburg - Uralmash	67:81
VTB United League
07.12.25	Uralmash - Zenit Saint Petersburg	79:86

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