Match Info
Latvian-Estonian LeagueDate: 28 January 2026, WednesdayLocation: Ogres 1. vidusskola (Ogre)
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 |
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 |
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Ogre |
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Tartu Rock |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
|
1.58 |
|
 |
2.31 |
|
1.55 |
|
 |
3.28 |
|
1.28 |
 Watch |
 |
2.25 |
|
1.6 |
|
 |
2.23 |
|
1.58 |
|
 |
2.55 |
|
1.47 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.08) |
|
1.51 ↓
(1.66) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 158.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ogre
37.9% | Tartu Rock
62.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ogre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ogre's form might have worsened.Tartu Rock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tartu Rock's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ogre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Rock than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tartu Rock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Ogre - Tartu Rock Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ogre will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ogre will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:81 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
5.  Avotins R.
| 8.  Bernard M.
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21. Dargais K. (C)
| 9.  Lips K.
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9. Kampuss G.
| 3. Painter D.
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4. Nelson A.
| 4. Saar H.
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10.  Todjare J.
| 2. Valge R.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
15. Hlebovickis L.
| 16. Andre R.
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8. Kudrjavcevs M.
| 35. Ilver M.
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0. Lastins M.
| 5. Laane R.
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31.  Poluiakhtov V.
| 20. Nurger R.
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7. Shundel A.
| 40. Paasoja M. (C)
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25. Simsons A.
| 34. Sinnik V.
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33. Sipolins G.
| |
| Coaches |
|---|
. Kalve E.
| . Kuusmaa A.
|
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ogre won 1.Recent performances by Ogre have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Tartu Rock is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Ogre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Tartu Rock will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ogre won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1202:1143. (average 80.1:76.2).Including home matches between the teams, Ogre won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 583:553. (average 83.3:79).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
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| 5 | Tartu Ulikool | 4 | 2 | 2 | 336:332 | 0.500 |
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| 10 | BK Ogre | 3 | 1 | 2 | 264:283 | 0.333 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Estonian–Latvian Basketball League | | | 22.11.25 | Tartu Rock - Ogre | 65:59 | | 08.02.25 | Ogre - Tartu Rock | 79:86 | | 06.12.24 | Tartu Rock - Ogre | 66:68 | | 05.03.24 | Tartu Rock - Ogre | 82:76 | | 21.10.23 | Ogre - Tartu Rock | 65:80 | | 07.03.23 | Tartu Rock - Ogre | 65:80 | | 23.11.22 | Ogre - Tartu Rock | 75:86 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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