Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ogres 1. vidusskola (Ogre) 🌤️ ...


	Ogre		BK Ventspils

	1	2
	2.40	1.48
	2.4	1.52
	2.45	1.5
	2.43	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.47
	2.39	1.51
	2.36	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.91)	1.5 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ogre
38.4%

BK Ventspils
61.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ogre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ogre's form might have worsened.

BK Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BK Ventspils's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ogre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BK Ventspils than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BK Ventspils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ogre - BK Ventspils Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ogre will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ventspils will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ogre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Ogre (2.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ogre (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ogre (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Apsitis K.	2. Ausejs A. (C)
15. Hlebovickis L.	96. Bryniuk B.
20. Lobsinger O. L.	11. Burnett I.
12. Silke-Zunda K.	44. Censonis J.
1. Vitols J.	31. Mezulis E.
Substitutes
11. Dobbs D.	23. Degray R.
10. Jekabsons B.	51. Graudins J.
22. Kapustans J.	7. Kasemets K.
8. Kudrjavcevs M.	13. Mansel R.
31. Poluiakhtov V.	45. Salnajs T.
25. Simsons A.	30. Zakis R.
33. Sipolins G. (C)
Coaches
. Visockis-Rubenis A.	. Fogels G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ogre won 1.

Ogre has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ventspils is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Ogre may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ventspils holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ogre has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1695:1781 (averaging 84.8:89.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ogre against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 781:790 goals (averaging 86.8:87.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
4	Ventspils	7	5	2	621:589	0.714
11	BK Ogre	6	2	4	506:526	0.333

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Ogre
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
21.10.26	TalTech - Ogre	82:78 ✺
16.10.26	Viimsi - Ogre	69:76 ✺
10.10.26	Ogre - Latvijas Universitāte	106:81 ✺
03.10.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Ogre	110:85 ✺
26.09.26	Ogre - VEF Riga	73:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWWLL
- BK Ventspils
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
16.10.26	BK Ventspils - TalTech	82:85 ✺
11.10.26	Keila Basket - BK Ventspils	68:85 ✺
10.10.26	Tallinna Kalev - BK Ventspils	73:86 ✺
02.10.26	BK Ventspils - Tartu Rock	92:85 ✺
28.09.26	Latvijas Universitāte - BK Ventspils	92:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian LBL
17.04.26	BK Ventspils - Ogre	104:82
14.04.26	Ogre - BK Ventspils	66:75
11.04.26	BK Ventspils - Ogre	114:98
Latvian Cup Basketball
17.01.26	Ogre - BK Ventspils	114:98
10.01.26	BK Ventspils - Ogre	89:72
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
04.01.26	BK Ventspils - Ogre	83:85
31.10.25	Ogre - BK Ventspils	70:71

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