Match Info

LBL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ogres 1. vidusskola (Ogre)


	Ogre		BK Ventspils

	1	2
	2.25	1.6
	3.77	1.22	Watch
	2.18	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.25)	1.45 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ogre
34.7%

BK Ventspils
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ogre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ogre's form might have worsened.

BK Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BK Ventspils's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ogre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BK Ventspils than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BK Ventspils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ogre - BK Ventspils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dargais K. (C)	10. Berze R.
9. Kampuss G.	7. Birkans R.
10. Ndjock-Tadjore J.	24. Bryant Donell T. R.
4. Nelson A.	20. Shelton C.
33. Sipolins G.	30. Zakis R.
Substitutes
37. Apsitis K.	15. Atanasovs N.
5. Avotins R.	2. Ausejs A. (C)
0. Lastins M.	0. Johnson Cash A.
31. Poluiakhtov V.	31. Mezulis E.
3. Short M.	23. Teirumnieks R.
7. Shundel A.	9. Urkis A.
25. Simsons A.
Coaches
. Svede U.	. Fogels G.

Preview

Ventspils leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ogre won 2.

Ogre has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ventspils has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ventspils could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ogre won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1708:1773. (average 85.4:88.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ogre won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 803:809. (average 89.2:89.9).

Last Results with these Odds

BK Ventspils - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.44%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Ogre
Latvian LBL
11.04.26	BK Ventspils - Ogre	114:98 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
14.03.26	Ogre - Latvijas Universitāte	101:106 ✺
10.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - Ogre	104:93 ✺
18.02.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Ogre	90:83 ✺
14.02.26	Ogre - TalTech	76:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BK Ventspils
Latvian LBL
11.04.26	BK Ventspils - Ogre	114:98 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
24.03.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	90:71 ✺
22.03.26	BK Ventspils - VEF Riga	72:69 ✺
18.03.26	VEF Riga - BK Ventspils	77:54 ✺
14.03.26	BK Ventspils - Tallinna Kalev	84:109 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian LBL
11.04.26	BK Ventspils - Ogre	114:98
Latvian Cup Basketball
17.01.26	Ogre - BK Ventspils	114:98
10.01.26	BK Ventspils - Ogre	89:72
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
04.01.26	BK Ventspils - Ogre	83:85
31.10.25	Ogre - BK Ventspils	70:71
Latvian LBL
25.04.25	BK Ventspils - Ogre	91:80
22.04.25	Ogre - BK Ventspils	98:91

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