Match Info
Proliga - Winners stage - Round 3Date: 7 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista (Portimão)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Portimonense |
|
Madeira |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.96 |
|
1.66 |
|
 |
1.96 |
|
1.71 |
|
 |
1.99 |
|
1.71 |
 Watch |
 |
2 |
|
1.7 |
|
 |
2.01 |
|
1.7 |
|
 |
2.05 |
|
1.68 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.5) |
|
1.69 ↑
(1.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 155.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portimonense
45.9% | Madeira
54.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portimonense's performance.Madeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Madeira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portimonense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Madeira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Portimonense - Madeira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:79 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
11.  Fall C.
| 2.  Buccila V.
|
1. Fragoso D. (C)
| 24.  Eberhart T.
|
9.  Grewal J.
| 3.  Embalo J.
|
6. Mota J.
| 4. Ferreira B.
|
22.  Staine F.
| 15. Newman M.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
15. Bessa D.
| 11. Dias T.
|
14. Goncalves F.
| 00. Fernandes J. (C)
|
4. Marreiros R.
| 13.  Gallina J.
|
10. Palhau A.
| 10. Leite L.
|
2. Queiroz M.
| 33. Oliveira J.
|
13. Santinhos G.
| 21. Pimenta L.
|
0. Semedo R.
| |
| Coaches |
|---|
. Almeida C.
| . Fernandes M.
|
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 3.At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.Recently, Portimonense has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 457:475. (average 76.2:79.2).Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 231:242. (average 77:80.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Proliga Basketball | | | 19.12.25 | Madeira - Portimonense | 80:76 | | 01.11.25 | Portimonense - Madeira | 82:78 | | 26.04.25 | Madeira - Portimonense | 94:88 | | 02.03.25 | Portimonense - Madeira | 79:74 | | 04.01.25 | Madeira - Portimonense | 59:62 | | 10.11.24 | Portimonense - Madeira | 70:90 |
|
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