Match Info

Proliga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste (Ílhavo)


	Illiabum		Madeira

	1	2
	1.63	2
	1.64	2.07
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.59)	2.06 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illiabum
55.5%

Madeira
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illiabum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Illiabum - Madeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:72

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Arikawe T.	24. Eberhart T.
10. Martinho J.	3. Embalo J.
12. Neto H.	4. Ferreira B.
30. Nunes F.	13. Gallina J.
3. Rayquawndis M.	15. Newman M.
Substitutes
35. Alves D.	2. Buccila V.
44. Caldeira S.	11. Dias T.
7. Costa P.	00. Fernandes J. (C)
15. Cristo R.	10. Leite L.
9. Lopes P.	33. Oliveira J.
20. Martins J.
14. Sico M. (C)
Coaches
. Fechas C.	. Fernandes M.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illiabum won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Madeira has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Illiabum will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illiabum won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1475:1556. (average 73.8:77.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Illiabum won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 747:803. (average 74.7:80.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Illiabum	1	1	0	85:75	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illiabum Clube
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
01.05.26	Illiabum - Casino Ginásio	76:69 ✺
25.04.26	Portimonense - Illiabum	63:59 ✺
19.04.26	Imortal B - Illiabum	40:77 ✺
04.04.26	Illiabum - Ginásio Olhanense	91:67 ✺
28.03.26	Povoa - Illiabum	75:48 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL
- CAB Madeira
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
01.05.26	Imortal B - Madeira	78:97 ✺
25.04.26	Madeira - Ginásio Olhanense	77:101 ✺
22.04.26	Ginásio Olhanense - Madeira	65:75 ✺
18.04.26	Povoa - Madeira	81:75 ✺
04.04.26	Maia - Madeira	108:100 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
14.03.26	Madeira - Illiabum	68:64
24.01.26	Illiabum - Madeira	65:67
03.05.25	Illiabum - Madeira	69:80
08.03.25	Madeira - Illiabum	65:61
21.03.24	Madeira - Illiabum	79:77 OT
24.02.24	Illiabum - Madeira	84:80
Portuguese LPB
21.01.22	Madeira - Illiabum	89:82

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