Match Info
LPB - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 25 May 2026, MondayLocation: Pavilhão João Rocha (Lisbon)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Portugal | Sporting TV |
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Sporting Lisbon |
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Porto |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.6 |
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2.1 |
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 |
1.5 |
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2.33 |
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 |
1.56 |
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2.24 |
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 |
1.62 |
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2.15 |
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1.6 |
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2.2 |
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 |
1.61 |
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2.08 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.43) |
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2.18 ↑
(2.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 163.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon
58% | Porto
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sporting Lisbon - Porto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:81 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
3.  Harden-Hayes M.
| 31. Beran R.
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0. Johns Jr B.
| 24. Hudson C.
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24. Morgan M.
| 15. Omlid T.
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7. Robinson III R.
| 11.  Queiroz M. (C)
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30.  Swenson S.
| 13. Washpun W.
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| Substitutes |
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6. Amarante F.
| 10. Allen-Williams C.
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18.  Cherepenko D.
| 1. Cardoso M.
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4. Correia M.
| 6. Carrera Y.
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12. Cruz A.
| 8. Delgado G.
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13.  Fernandes J.
| 2. Dunn J.
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1.  Razaque U.
| 7. Guerreiro J.
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9. Ventura D. (C)
| 3. Voytso V.
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| Coaches |
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. Magalhaes L.
| . Sa F.
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Preview
FC Porto leads series 1-0. Second leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 3.Sporting is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Porto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1637:1656. (average 81.9:82.8).Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 661:637. (average 82.6:79.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 2 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 203:179 | 4 |
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| 5 | Sporting CP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 159:144 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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