What is the expert prediction for St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies vs North Dakota State Bison?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies vs North Dakota State Bison. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies vs North Dakota State Bison Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, February 26, 2026)

Match Info

NCAA

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies		North Dakota State Bison

	1	2
	1.51	2.45
	1.52	2.33
	1.63	2.17	Watch
	1.59	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	2.33 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies
59.8%

North Dakota State Bison
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

North Dakota State Bison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Dakota State Bison than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Predictions

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 80:77

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Thomas Minnesota won 3.

Recent performances by St. Thomas Minnesota have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

North Dakota State is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, St. Thomas Minnesota has had a series of away games.

St. Thomas Minnesota is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, St. Thomas Minnesota won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 692:696. (average 69.2:69.6).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Thomas Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 368:329. (average 73.6:65.8).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.02.26	Denver Pioneers - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	82:80 ✺
14.02.26	UMKC Kangaroos - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	64:104 ✺
12.02.26	Omaha Mavericks - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	98:94 ✺
07.02.26	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Oral Roberts Golden Eagles	92:75 ✺
04.02.26	South Dakota State Jackrabbits - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	62:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW
- North Dakota State Bison basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.02.26	North Dakota State Bison - UMKC Kangaroos	95:59 ✺
18.02.26	South Dakota State Jackrabbits - North Dakota State Bison	66:74 ✺
14.02.26	North Dakota Fighting Hawks - North Dakota State Bison	66:83 ✺
07.02.26	North Dakota State Bison - Omaha Mavericks	92:84 ✺
05.02.26	North Dakota State Bison - Denver Pioneers	71:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	North Dakota State Bison - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	68:65
02.02.25	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - North Dakota State Bison	79:62
02.01.25	North Dakota State Bison - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	85:89
10.03.24	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - North Dakota State Bison	68:58
22.02.24	North Dakota State Bison - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	64:50
25.01.24	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - North Dakota State Bison	79:66
23.02.23	North Dakota State Bison - St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies	73:64

St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - North Dakota State Bison: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide