Match Info

Liga Uruguaya - Losers stage

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Urunday Universitario (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...


	Urunday Universitario		Unión Atlética

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.64	2.14	Watch
	1.33	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.35)	2.27 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urunday Universitario
58.9%

Unión Atlética
41.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urunday Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Urunday Universitario's form might have worsened.

Unión Atlética has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Atlética's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urunday Universitario than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urunday Universitario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Atlética than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Atlética, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Urunday Universitario - Unión Atlética Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5, 1st Half - Unión Atlética (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Atlética (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Benitez M.	5. Ducasse J. (C)
23. Daniels T.	9. Giano M.
21. Demers E.	1. Prince T.
5. Rickards R.	19. Souza G.
6. Sarni M. (C)	0. Wilson Q.
Substitutes
15. Amichetti N.	6. Abdala T.
2. Bessio N.	23. Brun G.
8. Curadossi B.	54. Echeverria L.
7. Massa S.	15. Garcia S.
20. Moller A.	3. Gomez L.
11. Rodriguez M.	31. Lopez A.
14. Sacco J.	7. Taborda F.
Coaches
. Gonzalez M.	. Fernandez G.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Unión Atlética may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Urunday has had a series of home games.

In this match, Urunday is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Urunday won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 250:233. (average 83.3:77.7).

Including home match between the teams, Urunday won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 76:79.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Union Atletica	3	1	2	230:226	4
7	Urunday	3	0	3	247:270	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urunday Universitario
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
13.03.26	Urunday Universitario - Welcome	111:79 ✺
10.03.26	Urunday Universitario - Biguá	79:84 ✺
06.03.26	Goes - Urunday Universitario	Canceled ✺
19.02.26	Urunday Universitario - Peñarol de Montevideo	83:100 ✺
09.02.26	Cordón - Urunday Universitario	78:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WL?LW
- Club Unión Atlética
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
13.03.26	Unión Atlética - Goes	94:84 ✺
10.03.26	Unión Atlética - Welcome	104:91 ✺
06.03.26	Cordón - Unión Atlética	83:68 ✺
19.02.26	Malvín - Unión Atlética	79:73 ✺
16.02.26	Unión Atlética - Nacional	91:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
04.02.26	Urunday Universitario - Unión Atlética	76:79
15.11.25	Unión Atlética - Urunday Universitario	77:101
25.11.16	Unión Atlética - Urunday Universitario	77:73

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