Match Info

NBB

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sao Januario Gymnasium (Rio de Janeiro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ferreira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	20:00	ESPN 4


	Vasco da Gama		Mogi

	1	2
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.36	Watch
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	2.88	1.4
	2.89	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.2)	1.37 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
32.3%

Mogi
67.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Mogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mogi than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Vasco da Gama - Mogi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Mogi will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vasco da Gama will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Basilio G.	2. Gabriel
24. Conceicao S.	11. Hinkle C.
2. Morgan L.	31. Maicon
11. Nunes P.	14. Menca
4. Vernizz A.	13. Paulo
Substitutes
3. Bearden L.	50. Andre D.
27. Elias Oliveira	7. Barbosa A.
7. Fortunato J.	5. Caldeira
23. Honorato I.	6. Chagas V.
19. Magna G.	12. Johnson D.
30. Martins I.	4. Ruivo F.
12. Mathias T.
Coaches
. Figueiro L.	. Penna F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.

Recent form of Vasco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mogi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mogi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mogi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 883:876. (average 80.3:79.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 427:395. (average 85.4:79).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Mogi	4	3	1	315:294	0.750

Outrights of Brazilian NBB for now

Mogi: 26.65%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Basketball
Brazilian NBB
17.01.26	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians Paulista	67:75 ✺
13.01.26	Basquete Cearense - Vasco da Gama	73:78 ✺
10.01.26	Unifacisa - Vasco da Gama	78:75 ✺
27.12.25	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	80:102 ✺
23.12.25	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	79:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Mogi das Cruzes Basquete
Brazilian NBB
10.01.26	Mogi - Minas	90:76 ✺
29.12.25	Mogi - Caxias do Sul	71:56 ✺
27.12.25	Paulistano - Mogi	81:66 ✺
23.12.25	Franca - Mogi	85:61 ✺
19.12.25	São José dos Campos - Mogi	79:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
01.11.25	Mogi - Vasco da Gama	79:57
28.02.25	Vasco da Gama - Mogi	104:82
17.10.24	Mogi - Vasco da Gama	64:63
02.03.24	Vasco da Gama - Mogi	79:73
25.11.23	Mogi - Vasco da Gama	79:95
13.02.19	Mogi - Vasco da Gama	90:88
14.12.18	Vasco da Gama - Mogi	75:88

Vasco da Gama - Mogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide