Match Info

NCAA

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Xavier Musketeers		Providence Friars

	1	2
	2	1.83
	1.92	1.8
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.85
	1.83	1.83
	2.05	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.23)	1.81 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xavier Musketeers
48%

Providence Friars
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xavier Musketeers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xavier Musketeers's performance.

Providence Friars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Providence Friars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xavier Musketeers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Friars than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Xavier Musketeers - Providence Friars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:85

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xavier won 4.

Recent form of Xavier has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Providence's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Xavier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xavier won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1535:1484. (average 76.8:74.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Xavier won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 821:769. (average 74.6:69.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xavier Musketeers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.01.26	Marquette Golden Eagles - Xavier Musketeers	66:65 ✺
03.01.26	DePaul Blue Demons - Xavier Musketeers	86:77 ✺
31.12.25	Xavier Musketeers - Connecticut Huskies	67:90 ✺
20.12.25	Georgetown Hoyas - Xavier Musketeers	77:80 ✺
17.12.25	Xavier Musketeers - Creighton Blue Jays	57:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWL
- Providence Friars basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.01.26	Providence Friars - Connecticut Huskies	98:103 OT ✺
03.01.26	St. Johns Red Storm - Providence Friars	71:77 ✺
19.12.25	Providence Friars - Seton Hall Pirates	67:72 ✺
13.12.25	Butler Bulldogs - Providence Friars	113:110 OT ✺
09.12.25	Providence Friars - Brown Bears	86:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
08.03.25	Xavier Musketeers - Providence Friars	76:68
12.02.25	Providence Friars - Xavier Musketeers	82:91
21.02.24	Xavier Musketeers - Providence Friars	75:79
13.01.24	Providence Friars - Xavier Musketeers	65:85
01.03.23	Providence Friars - Xavier Musketeers	89:94
01.02.23	Xavier Musketeers - Providence Friars	85:83 OT
23.02.22	Providence Friars - Xavier Musketeers	99:92 OT (70:70)

Xavier Musketeers - Providence Friars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide