Match Info

Big Bash League Women

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Big Bash League Women 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	11:00	Fox Sports Cricket


	Melbourne Stars		Sydney Thunder

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	1.77	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.66)	1.8 ↓ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Stars
47.7%

Sydney Thunder
52.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Stars's form might have worsened.

Sydney Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney Thunder's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Stars than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Thunder than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stars will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Thunder will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stars (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Thunder (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stars won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Stars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Stars has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Stars will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stars won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1918:1903. (average 95.9:95.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stars won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 545:475. (average 77.9:67.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Stars Women
Australian Big Bash T20 Women
02.12.25	Sydney Sixers - Melbourne Stars	164:148 ✺
01.12.25	Hobart Hurricanes - Melbourne Stars	176:98 ✺
28.11.25	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	115:160 ✺
25.11.25	Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes	151:114 ✺
23.11.25	Brisbane Heat - Melbourne Stars	153:171 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW
- Sydney Thunder Women
Australian Big Bash T20 Women
03.12.25	Sydney Thunder - Brisbane Heat	153:130 ✺
29.11.25	Sydney Sixers - Sydney Thunder	176:174 ✺
28.11.25	Adelaide Strikers - Sydney Thunder	Abandoned ✺
22.11.25	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Renegades	64:68 ✺
21.11.25	Brisbane Heat - Sydney Thunder	159:200 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Big Bash T20 Women
20.11.24	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars	112:108
09.11.23	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars	125:121
04.11.23	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	123:128
31.10.22	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	Abandoned
22.10.22	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars	Abandoned
30.10.21	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars	133:114
25.10.21	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	108:96

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Stars Women
Australian Big Bash T20 Women
31.10.26	Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Stars	✺
29.10.26	Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes	✺
- Sydney Thunder Women
Australian Big Bash T20 Women
29.10.26	Melbourne Renegades - Sydney Thunder	✺

Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide