Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)
team | position | project points | now | relegated | promoted | win league |
Toulouse | 1 (100%) | 79 | 79 | 0% | 100% | 100% |
Ajaccio | 2 (100%) | 75 | 75 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
Auxerre | 3 (100%) | 74 | 74 | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Paris FC | 4 (100%) | 70 | 70 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Sochaux | 5 (100%) | 68 | 68 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Guingamp | 6 (100%) | 58 | 58 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Caen | 7 (100%) | 50 | 50 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Le Havre | 8 (100%) | 50 | 50 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Nîmes | 9 (100%) | 49 | 49 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Pau | 10 (100%) | 49 | 49 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Dijon | 11 (100%) | 47 | 47 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Bastia | 12 (100%) | 46 | 46 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Niort | 13 (100%) | 46 | 46 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Amiens | 14 (100%) | 44 | 44 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Grenoble | 15 (100%) | 44 | 44 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Valenciennes | 16 (100%) | 44 | 44 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Rodez | 17 (100%) | 43 | 43 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Quevilly | 18 (100%) | 40 | 40 | 50% | 0% | 0% |
Dunkerque | 19 (100%) | 31 | 31 | 100% | 0% | 0% |
Nancy | 20 (100%) | 27 | 27 | 100% | 0% | 0% |