Match Info

LNF - Play Offs - Final

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ginasio Wlamir Marques (Sao Paulo)


	Corinthians Paulista		Jaraguá

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.2	2.35	Watch
	2.34	4.31	2.34	Watch
	2.16	3.96	2.53
	2.25	4.33	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.34)	4.2 ↓ (4.31)	2.37 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians Paulista
40%

Draw
21.6%

Jaraguá
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

21.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

18.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Jaraguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians Paulista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraguá than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Kelvin Siqueira (G)	22. Nicolas Souza (G)
10. Deives Moraes	26. Dias B.
98. Igor Carioca	8. Leco
14. Lucas Martins	32. Ruan Alflen
31. Michael d. O.	9. Yan de Deus
Substitutes
8. Caio Barros	7. Bruninho
21. Edimar	19. Di Fanti (G)
38. Israel Neto	14. Eka
1. Koji (G)	10. Jamur
7. Luisinho	92. Jhonnas
28. Marlon	88. Marcenio
17. Renatinho	28. Nenen Ribeiro
22. Rick	5. Pedrinho
23. Vandinho	2. Tatinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', Nenen Ribeiro 🟨,
13', Tatinho (G),
13', Yan de Deus (G),
14', Caio Barros (G),
17', Vandinho (G),
18', Vandinho 🟨,
18', Dias B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
22', Deives Moraes (G),
27', Lucas Martins 🟨,
27', Michael d. O. 🟨,
33', Nicolas Souza 🟥,
39', Marcenio (G),

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 0.

Corinthians Paulista is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jaraguá is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:32. (average 2.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians Paulista won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:19. (average 3.9:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians Paulista Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
27.11.25	Corinthians Paulista - ACMF Campo Mourão	3:2 ✺
20.11.25	ACMF Campo Mourão - Corinthians Paulista	0:1 ✺
11.11.25	Magnus - Corinthians Paulista	5:3 ✺
04.11.25	Corinthians Paulista - Magnus	4:2 ✺
17.10.25	Corinthians Paulista - Carlos Barbosa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW
- ADJ Jaraguá
Brazilian Liga Futsal
30.11.25	Atlântico - Jaraguá	3:3 ✺
15.11.25	Jaraguá - Atlântico	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Jaraguá - Joinville	4:1 ✺
03.11.25	Joinville - Jaraguá	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	Jaraguá - Minas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Liga Futsal
15.08.25	Corinthians Paulista - Jaraguá	2:2
19.10.24	Jaraguá - Corinthians Paulista	5:1
11.10.24	Corinthians Paulista - Jaraguá	3:3
30.07.24	Jaraguá - Corinthians Paulista	3:2
28.07.23	Corinthians Paulista - Jaraguá	1:3
28.10.22	Jaraguá - Corinthians Paulista	1:1
21.10.22	Corinthians Paulista - Jaraguá	5:2

Corinthians Paulista - Jaraguá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide