Match Info

F.League - Winners stage - Round 25

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Fugador Sumida		Pescadola Machida

	1	X	2
	4.9	5.6	1.41
	5.18	5.18	1.42	Watch
	5.56	5.45	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (5.18)	5.41 ↑ (5.18)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fugador Sumida
17.6%

Draw
16.9%

Pescadola Machida
65.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.7%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fugador Sumida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pescadola Machida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Fugador Sumida - Pescadola Machida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fugador Sumida won 1.

Fugador Sumida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pescadola Machida is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fugador Sumida won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 2.3:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fugador Sumida won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:25. (average 1.7:3.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Pescadola Machida	15	11	3	1	60:39	36
6	Fugador Sumida	15	7	2	6	38:39	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fugador Sumida
Japan F League
22.02.26	Bardral Urayasu - Fugador Sumida	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Nagoya Oceans - Fugador Sumida	5:0 ✺
12.12.25	Fugador Sumida - Boaluz Nagano	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Bardral Urayasu - Fugador Sumida	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Vasagey Oita - Fugador Sumida	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTW
- Pescadola Machida
Japan F League
21.02.26	Pescadola Machida - Shinagawa	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Pescadola Machida - Tachikawa Athletic	7:2 ✺
11.12.25	YSCC Yokohama - Pescadola Machida	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Pescadola Machida - Nagoya Oceans	6:3 ✺
09.11.25	Shinagawa - Pescadola Machida	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan F League
07.06.25	Fugador Sumida - Pescadola Machida	1:2
21.06.24	Fugador Sumida - Pescadola Machida	4:3
13.10.23	Fugador Sumida - Pescadola Machida	0:3
01.07.22	Fugador Sumida - Pescadola Machida	3:4
31.01.21	Pescadola Machida - Fugador Sumida	3:1
09.06.19	Pescadola Machida - Fugador Sumida	5:7
18.01.19	Fugador Sumida - Pescadola Machida	0:4

Fugador Sumida - Pescadola Machida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide