Match Info

VHL

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Tambov

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.38	2.84
	1.98	3.25	2.75
	2.09	3.92	3	Watch
	1.97	3.75	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.76)	3.58 ↓ (4.25)	2.89 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
44.1%

Draw
24.9%

Tambov
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

22.1%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

23.2%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AKM's form might have worsened.

Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tambov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

AKM - Tambov Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. AKM will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AKM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Korzin Y. (G)	90. Korolev T. (G)
67. Ivanov G.	54. Marin M.
86. Faizullin A.	3. Pirogov I.
10. Rozhkov N. A.	66. Didkovsky A.
38. Shipov I. (A)	21. Vikharev D.
61. Gorshkov A. (A)	23. Lazarev M. (A)
Line 2
32. Babenko A.	82. Paigin Z. (A)
17. Trishin A. (C)	72. Miftyayev A.
55. Suvorov A.	86. Kopyltsov S.
21. Kodola V.	89. Sadovin O.
15. Yermakov Y.	19. Vladimirov N. (A)
Line 3
52. Motygullin B.	74. Lebedev B.
23. Mineyev M.	24. Maslov K.
9. Sato Y.	87. Borodin D.
47. Skutin Y.	69. Pyanov E.
7. Khanin M.	9. Ulyanov V.
Line 4
72. Shutyayev D.	77. Kozyrev M.
69. Pautov Y.	33. Balashov M.
29. Kaburov G.	40. Fyodorov V.
25. Kramarenko Y.	17. Alshevsky A.
95. Seliverstov A.
Substitutes
60. Kanarsky I. (G)	30. Mytnik N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
15:14, 1 - 0, Rozhkov N. A. (G), Faizullin A. (A), Mineev M. (A2)
17:20, 2 - 0, Gorshkov A. (G), Mineyev M. (A), Babenko A. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 2)
00:29, 3 - 0, Rozhkov N. A. (G), Gorshkov A. (A), Sato Y. (A2)
00:38, 3 - 1, Sadovin O. (G), Kopyltsov S. (A),
00:58, 4 - 1, Sato Y. (G), Khanin M. (A), Mineyev M. (A2)
10:07, 5 - 1, Seliverstov A. (G), Kaburov G. (A), Ivanov G. (A2)
13:21, 6 - 1, Rozhkov N. A. (G), Gorshkov A. (A), Trishin A. (A2)
18:40, 6 - 2, Didkovsky A. (G), Lazarev M. (A), Pyanov E. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
05:21, 6 - 3, Ulyanov V. (G),
12:32, 7 - 3, Skutin Y. (G), Kaburov G. (A), Pautov Y. (A2)
13:49, 7 - 4, Paigin Z. (G),
15:06, 7 - 5, Vikharev D. (G), Marin M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 5.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Tambov could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, AKM has faced a series of away games on the road.

AKM is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for AKM in today's match, at odds of 2.02.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, AKM has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:25 (averaging 3.4:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AKM against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:10 goals (averaging 3.6:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	AKM	12	7	0	3	2	38:29	17
15	Tambov	10	5	1	1	3	28:26	13

Last Results with these Odds

AKM - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 53.27%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Tambov - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.67%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
17.09.26	AKM - Buran Voronezh	1:1 OT ✺
12.09.26	Omskie Krylia - AKM	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Zauralie Kurgan - AKM	2:3 ✺
08.09.26	Rubin Tyumen - AKM	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - AKM	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWL
- HC Tambov
VHL
17.09.26	Ryazan - Tambov	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Tambov - Bars Kazan	2:1 OT ✺
07.09.26	Tambov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 penalties ✺
05.09.26	Tambov - CSK VVS Samara	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.26	Buran Voronezh - Tambov	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.12.25	AKM - Tambov	4:2
22.11.25	Tambov - AKM	2:3 penalties
04.03.25	AKM - Tambov	4:0
18.09.24	Tambov - AKM	1:2
15.01.24	Tambov - AKM	2:3
04.10.23	AKM - Tambov	4:1
19.12.22	Tambov - AKM	5:6 penalties

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