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Current Win Probability
Black Wings Linz 35.4%
Draw 21.8%
Olimpija Ljubljana 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
22.8%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
25.6%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Black Wings Linz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Black Wings Linz than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Black Wings Linz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpija Ljubljana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Black Wings Linz - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Black Wings will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Olimpija will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Wells D. (G)
61. Horak L. (G)
46. Wurschl N.
43. Brennan T.
28. Wimmer P.
74. Halbert N.
27. Ouellette-St-Amant S.
8. Mahkovec M.
49. Knott G.
14. Jeglic Z. (A)
12. Shaw B.
9. Urbas J. (C)
Line 2
3. Moro G. (A)
86. Bohinc R.
84. Lindner L.
4. McNeill R.
7. Lebler B. (C)
92. Lawrence J.
24. Topping K.
11. Quince M.
92. Maier O.
12. Simsic N.
Line 3
13. Kragl G. (A)
44. Crnovic A.
23. Sollinger P.
15. Gregorc B.
9. Romig E.
37. Douglas C.
72. Bliss T.
89. Boychuk Z. (A)
52. Pusnik J.
93. Meyer N.
Line 4
96. Tialler C.
21. Bukovec M.
14. Neubauer H.
68. Gomboc L.
91. Tschofen M.
71. Mehle Z.
66. Gaffal S.
10. Bericic M.
23. Sodja J.
Substitutes
45. Reder M. (G)
33. Us Z. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
11:35, 1 - 0, Ouellette-St-Amant S. (G),
13:49, 2 - 0, Lebler B. (G), Ouellette-St-Amant S. (A), Knott G. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
12:39, 3 - 0, Ouellette-St-Amant S. (G), Knott G. (A), Shaw B. (A2)
15:58, 4 - 0, Knott G. (G), Wurschl N. (A),
16:40, 4 - 1, Lawrence J. (G), Halbert N. (A),
19:54, 4 - 2, Lawrence J. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:39, 4 - 3, Lawrence J. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Black Wings won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Black Wings may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Olimpija has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Black Wings has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 75:47 (averaging 3.8:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Black Wings against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 50:21 goals (averaging 4.5:1.9 per game).
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
HK Olimpija: 4.2% Black Wings Linz: 2.87%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Black Wings Linz
10
6
1
1
2
39:28
21
4
HK Olimpija
9
5
1
0
3
42:26
17
Last Results with these Odds
Olimpija Ljubljana - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.33%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Slovenia
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Wells D. (G) 
Horak L. (G) 
Wurschl N. 
Brennan T. 
Halbert N. 
Meyer N. 
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