The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Bull Salzburg 52.7%
Draw 20.7%
Black Wings Linz 26.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.8%
21%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
21.2%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Black Wings Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Black Wings Linz than the current prediction. (-1%)
Red Bull Salzburg - Black Wings Linz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Kickert D. (G)
45. Reder M. (G)
62. Kalynuk W.
46. Wurschl N.
22. Robertson D.
28. Wimmer P.
3. Schneider P. (C)
22. Erne L.
70. Nissner B.
49. Knott G.
12. Raffl M. (A)
12. Shaw B.
Line 2
95. Horl L.
3. Moro G. (A)
4. Nienhuis N.
84. Lindner L.
96. Huber M. (A)
7. Lebler B. (C)
77. Brooks A.
24. Topping K.
24. Poisson N.
92. Maier O.
Line 3
6. Lee J.
13. Kragl G. (A)
44. Galipeau O.
23. Sollinger P.
16. Auer L. C.
9. Romig E.
89. Baltram F.
72. Bliss T.
9. Wukovits A.
14. Neubauer H.
Line 4
29. Krainer B.
96. Tialler C.
92. Rebernig A.
26. Grullenberger J.
26. Hochkofler P.
91. Tschofen M.
68. Gesson A.
66. Gaffal S.
8. Bohm M.
Substitutes
35. Tolvanen A. (G)
33. Burghard D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
19:48, 0 - 1, Bliss T. (G), Neubauer H. (A), Romig E. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
01:20, 0 - 2, Knott G. (G), Lindner L. (A), Moro G. (A2)
11:19, 0 - 3, Knott G. (G), Bliss T. (A),
17:40, 0 - 4, Maier O. (G), Topping K. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
12:00, 0 - 5, Grullenberger J. (G), Tschofen M. (A),
13:16, 0 - 6, Shaw B. (G), Lebler B. (A), Knott G. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Bull Salzburg won 4.
Red Bull Salzburg has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Black Wings is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Red Bull Salzburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Red Bull Salzburg holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Red Bull Salzburg has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:36 (averaging 3.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Red Bull Salzburg against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 42:14 goals (averaging 3.8:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Black Wings Linz
16
11
1
1
3
64:40
36
6
Salzburg
15
8
0
1
6
47:47
25
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Salzburg: 13.35% Black Wings Linz: 4.26%
Last Results with these Odds
Red Bull Salzburg - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.83%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Black Wings Linz - the odds 3.53 are the expected chance of winning is 26.19%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.