Match Info

PWHL Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Tsongas Center (Lowell, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6


	Boston Fleet		Ottawa Charge

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.4	3.05
	2.02	3.73	3.25
	1.92	3.68	3.4	Watch
	2	3.6	3.1
	1.99	3.54	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.98)	3.59 ↓ (3.73)	3.2 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston Fleet
46%

Draw
25.5%

Ottawa Charge
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

24.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

27.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston Fleet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ottawa Charge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston Fleet than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boston Fleet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Charge than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Frankel A. (G)	33. Philips G. (G)
16. Brengman R.	5. Guilday R.
5. Keller M.	88. Savolainen R.
15. Mobley O.	37. Leslie R.
13. Schepers L.	19. Jenner B.
26. Huber E.	23. Wozniewicz S.
Line 2
8. Winn H.	8. Reilly K.
55. Pejsova D.	3. Larocque J.
27. Maloney S.	29. Hemp P.
77. Tapani S.	17. Hughes G.
47. Rattray J.	26. Clark E.
Line 3
6. Hartmetz H.	11. Hobson B.
7. Biotti M.	25. Greco E.
19. Newhook A.	86. Cava M.
11. Muller A.	16. Mrazova K.
18. Eldridge J.	71. Kadirova F.
Line 4
81. Neubauerova N.	6. Markowski S.
9. Shirley S.	22. House T.
20. Brandt H.	10. Vasko A.
44. Saulnier J.	27. McQuigge B.
Substitutes
39. Levy A. (G)	1. Ahola S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
13:16, 0 - 1, Savolainen R. (G), Guilday R. (A), House T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:54, 0 - 2, Kadirova F. (G), Leslie R. (A), Larocque J. (A2)
19:50, 1 - 2, Keller M. (G), Newhook A. (A), Muller A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19', 1 - 3, (G),

Preview

Boston Fleet leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 2.

Recent performances by Boston have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ottawa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ottawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Boston has had a series of home games.

Boston could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Boston won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:34. (average 2.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.7:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Boston Fleet - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.44%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Ottawa Charge - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 28.91%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston Fleet
PWHL Women
30.04.26	Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Boston Fleet - New York Sirens	4:0 ✺
22.04.26	Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge	1:2 OT ✺
17.04.26	Montreal Victoire - Boston Fleet	3:2 OT ✺
15.04.26	Boston Fleet - Minnesota Frost	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLW
- Ottawa Charge
PWHL Women
30.04.26	Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Ottawa Charge - Toronto Sceptres	3:0 ✺
22.04.26	Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge	1:2 OT ✺
18.04.26	Ottawa Charge - New York Sirens	5:1 ✺
11.04.26	Toronto Sceptres - Ottawa Charge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

PWHL Women
30.04.26	Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge	2:1
22.04.26	Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge	1:2 OT
28.02.26	Ottawa Charge - Boston Fleet	2:3 penalties
11.01.26	Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge	1:2 penalties
27.12.25	Ottawa Charge - Boston Fleet	3:2 penalties
02.04.25	Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge	0:4
29.03.25	Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge	1:2

Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide