Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Brest		Metallurg Zhlobin

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.90	2.35
	2.22	4.06	2.67
	2.19	4.00	2.60
	2.20	3.82	2.62	Watch
	2.27	3.85	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.53)	3.93 ↑ (3.88)	2.53 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
40.5%

Draw
23.3%

Metallurg Zhlobin
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

23.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

25.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Metallurg Zhlobin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Zhlobin than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Brest - Metallurg Zhlobin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
74. Kozlovsky K. (G)	31. Matskevich M. (G)
28. Shikut A.	86. Volchenkov A.
15. Pozhigan O.	71. Yershov V.
27. Tsybin M.	17. Veremeyenko Y.
7. Tyutchev D.	99. Kuzmenko Y.
47. Kuchkin S.	10. Timirev A.
Line 2
79. Soldatov R.	5. Geraschenko A.
4. Kravchuk A.	78. Romanovich S.
70. Mashkov V.	47. Spat I.
10. Melnikov M.	22. Bovbel V.
68. Nikitich A.	16. Tukach D.
Line 3
22. Smirnov A.	61. Naumov V.
91. Samchenko V.	44. Gramovich V.
5. Khodorovich N.	15. Bodilovsky R.
11. Klavdiyev Y.	91. Krikunenko R.
71. Paramonov D.	11. Polishchuk Z.
Line 4
87. Gorin D.	19. Popovsky B.
35. Lazarevich G.	94. Kuznetsov R.
18. Chemerinsky A.	87. Litvinov T.
12. Gerasimov S.	88. Ignatov K.
Substitutes
29. Isayenko D. (G)	92. Lushchik I. (G)
17. Zhigalov V.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 2.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Metallurg Zhlobin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Metallurg Zhlobin has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Brest has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:53 (averaging 1.7:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Brest against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 13:22 goals (averaging 1.3:2.2 per game).

Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now

Brest: 15.81% Zhlobin: 15.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Zhlobin	11	7	2	0	2	40:22	18
5	Brest	11	6	2	0	3	34:28	16

Last Results with these Odds

Brest - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.17%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Metallurg Zhlobin - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Brest
Belarusian Extraleague
10.10.26	Brest - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:4 ✺
06.10.26	Dinamo Molodechno - Brest	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Dinamo Molodechno - Brest	1:2 AET ✺
29.09.26	Brest - Neman Grodno	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Brest - Neman Grodno	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- Metallurg Zhlobin
Belarusian Extraleague
10.10.26	Brest - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:4 ✺
04.10.26	Yunost Minsk - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:4 ✺
03.10.26	Yunost Minsk - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:4 ✺
29.09.26	Dinamo Molodechno - Metallurg Zhlobin	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Dinamo Molodechno - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
10.10.26	Brest - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:4
01.12.25	Brest - Metallurg Zhlobin	2:1 OT
29.11.25	Brest - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:4
14.09.25	Metallurg Zhlobin - Brest	2:1
12.09.25	Metallurg Zhlobin - Brest	1:2
01.12.24	Brest - Metallurg Zhlobin	0:1
29.11.24	Brest - Metallurg Zhlobin	1:2

Brest - Metallurg Zhlobin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide