Match Info
AIHLDate: 20 June 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AIHL TV |
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Brisbane Lightning |
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Melbourne Mustangs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.10 |
5.25 |
2.25 |
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 |
2.60 |
5.10 |
2.02 |
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 |
2.20 |
4.96 |
2.23 |
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 |
2.28 |
5.82 |
2.18 |
Watch |
 |
2.30 |
4.80 |
2.10 |
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2.18 |
5.25 |
2.18 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.4) |
5.2 ↓
(5.41) |
2.16 ↑
(2.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 11.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Lightning
40.1% | Draw
17.6% | Melbourne Mustangs
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Melbourne Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (-1.4%)Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:6 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 01:30, 1 - 0, Ouimette L. (G), Gendunov B. (A), Hebert G. (A2)
- 14:17, 2 - 0, Pretorius N. (G),
- 18:10, 3 - 0, Barnes A. (G), Gendunov B. (A), Wanat A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 00:44, 3 - 1, Crane B. (G), Caron P. (A), Sucher L. (A2)
- 16:49, 3 - 2, Timmins S. (G), Crane B. (A), Hughes J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (4 - 4)
- 06:34, 4 - 2, Hopps T. (G), Pretorius N. (A),
- 08:44, 5 - 2, Shankar Z. (G), Hebert G. (A), Hopps T. (A2)
- 10:10, 6 - 2, Hebert G. (G), Campbell A. (A), Hopps T. (A2)
- 13:49, 7 - 2, Hopps T. (G), Hebert G. (A),
- 15:10, 7 - 3, Timmins S. (G), Caron P. (A), Crane B. (A2)
- 15:53, 7 - 4, Lindal B. (G), Gaeta D. (A), Hughes J. (A2)
- 17:42, 7 - 5, Hughes J. (G), Caron P. (A), Lane J. (A2)
- 18:52, 7 - 6, Crane B. (G), Sasaki Y. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Melbourne Mustangs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:52. (average 3.8:5.2).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:16. (average 4.8:4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Ice Hockey League | | | 02.08.25 | Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning | 8:4 | | 08.06.25 | Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs | 9:6 | | 07.06.25 | Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs | 5:3 | | 13.04.25 | Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning | 4:3 OT | | 01.06.24 | Brisbane Lightning - Melbourne Mustangs | 4:1 | | 26.05.24 | Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning | 1:2 | | 14.04.24 | Melbourne Mustangs - Brisbane Lightning | 7:4 |
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