Match Info
AIHLDate: 24 May 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | AIHL TV |
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Brisbane Lightning |
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Newcastle North Stars |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.55 |
5.4 |
1.41 |
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 |
4.28 |
5.74 |
1.43 |
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 |
4.43 |
6.25 |
1.45 |
Watch |
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5 |
6 |
1.3 |
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 |
4.25 |
6.3 |
1.42 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.5 ↓ (4.92) |
5.94 ↓ (7.19) |
1.4 ↑ (1.36) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 10.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Lightning 20.1% | Draw 15.3% | Newcastle North Stars 64.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Newcastle North Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle North Stars than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Brisbane Lightning - Newcastle North Stars Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 3)
- 01:37, 0 - 1, Haarala S. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Watanabe A. (A2)
- 15:02, 0 - 2, Haarala S. (G), Skachkov Y. (A),
- 16:35, 0 - 3, Drolet F. (G), Taylor B. (A), Ryan L. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:46, 0 - 4, Skachkov Y. (G), Klugerman R. (A),
- 06:40, 0 - 5, Haarala S. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Klugerman R. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 5)
- 06:04, 0 - 6, Skachkov Y. (G), Watanabe A. (A),
- 10', 0 - 8, (G),
- 10:07, 0 - 7, Ryan L. (G), Watanabe A. (A), Drolet F. (A2)
- 14', 0 - 9, (G),
- 15', 0 - 10, (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.Brisbane is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Newcastle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Newcastle has had a series of away games. In this match, Newcastle is a strong favorite. We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 55:93. (average 3.9:6.6).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:45. (average 5:6.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Ice Hockey League | | | 23.05.26 | Brisbane Lightning - Newcastle North Stars | 7:10 | | 29.08.25 | Newcastle North Stars - Brisbane Lightning | 6:1 | | 24.08.25 | Brisbane Lightning - Newcastle North Stars | 8:4 | | 23.08.25 | Brisbane Lightning - Newcastle North Stars | 1:11 | | 13.07.25 | Newcastle North Stars - Brisbane Lightning | 8:4 | | 12.07.25 | Newcastle North Stars - Brisbane Lightning | 7:3 | | 30.06.24 | Newcastle North Stars - Brisbane Lightning | 3:2 |
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