Match Info

SDHL Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Monitor ERP Arena (Gävle)


	Brynäs		Skellefteå

	1	X	2
	1.35	5	6.25
	1.3	4.93	7.43
	1.32	5.05	7.48	Watch
	1.3	5	6.5
	1.32	4.9	7.35
	1.35	4.9	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	4.96 ↑ (4.79)	6.9 ↓ (7.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brynäs
68.6%

Draw
18.3%

Skellefteå
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

18.9%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

20.7%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brynäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Skellefteå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brynäs than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brynäs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skellefteå than the current prediction. (+1%)

Brynäs - Skellefteå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:23, 1 - 0, Vainikka V. (G), Cajanova S. (A), Tulus N. (A2)
16:57, 1 - 1, Jensen N. (G), Kuoppala I. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)
10:10, 2 - 1, Svensson E. (G), Cajanova S. (A),

Preview

Brynas leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brynäs won 5.

Brynäs is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Skellefteå has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Skellefteå has had a series of away games.

In this match, Brynäs is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Brynäs will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Brynäs won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Brynäs won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Brynas W	7	7	0	0	0	25:5	21
10	Skelleftea W	6	1	0	1	4	10:18	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brynäs IF Dam
Swedish SDHL Women
02.03.26	Brynäs - Skellefteå	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	SDE HF - Brynäs	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Brynäs - SDE HF	4:2 ✺
21.01.26	SDE HF - Brynäs	2:3 OT ✺
16.01.26	Linköpings - Brynäs	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWL
- Skellefteå AIK Women
Swedish SDHL Women
02.03.26	Brynäs - Skellefteå	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	2:5 ✺
25.02.26	Luleå - Skellefteå	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	HV71 - Skellefteå	3:5 ✺
16.01.26	Frölunda - Skellefteå	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish SDHL Women
02.03.26	Brynäs - Skellefteå	3:0
28.12.25	Brynäs - Skellefteå	3:1
19.12.25	Skellefteå - Brynäs	1:2 penalties
24.10.25	Brynäs - Skellefteå	2:1
19.09.25	Skellefteå - Brynäs	0:4
02.02.25	Brynäs - Skellefteå	2:1 penalties
30.12.24	Skellefteå - Brynäs	2:3 penalties

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