Match Info

SDHL Women

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Frölunda		Skellefteå

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.2	6.7
	1.35	5.06	6.84	Watch
	1.31	5.1	7.19
	1.34	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	5.03 ↑ (4.87)	6.68 ↑ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frölunda
68.3%

Draw
18.1%

Skellefteå
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

18.9%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

20.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frölunda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Skellefteå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frölunda than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frölunda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skellefteå than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Frölunda - Skellefteå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
00:43, 0 - 1, Tedenby C. (G),
03:30, 0 - 2, Bjurven S. (G), Tedenby C. (A), Pirttijarvi J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Frölunda is Qualified for SDHL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frölunda won 5.

Recent performances by Frölunda have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Skellefteå is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Skellefteå may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Frölunda is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Frölunda will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Frölunda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:13. (average 3.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Frölunda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 4:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Frolunda W	5	2	0	0	3	10:11	6
10	Skelleftea W	6	1	0	1	4	10:18	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frölunda HC Women
Swedish SDHL Women
15.01.26	Frölunda - Luleå	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Modo - Frölunda	6:2 ✺
09.01.26	Brynäs - Frölunda	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Frölunda - Farjestad	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Linköpings - Frölunda	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWLW
- Skellefteå AIK Women
Swedish SDHL Women
11.01.26	Skellefteå - SDE HF	1:5 ✺
09.01.26	Skellefteå - Djurgårdens	0:5 ✺
29.12.25	Modo - Skellefteå	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Brynäs - Skellefteå	3:1 ✺
19.12.25	Skellefteå - Brynäs	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish SDHL Women
21.11.25	Skellefteå - Frölunda	2:3
10.10.25	Frölunda - Skellefteå	3:1
07.09.25	Skellefteå - Frölunda	1:3
19.01.25	Frölunda - Skellefteå	6:2
08.12.24	Skellefteå - Frölunda	3:4 penalties
25.10.24	Frölunda - Skellefteå	3:4
20.09.24	Skellefteå - Frölunda	0:4

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