Match Info

SDHL Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Monitor ERP Arena (Gävle)


	Brynäs		Luleå

	1	X	2
	2.3	4	2.4
	2.39	3.59	2.45
	2.42	3.73	2.47	Watch
	2.4	3.75	2.38
	2.4	3.56	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.42)	3.73 ↓ (3.84)	2.43 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brynäs
38.2%

Draw
24.4%

Luleå
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

24%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

25.7%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brynäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brynäs than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Brynäs - Luleå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
12:16, 1 - 0, Osterman M. (G), Nylund J. (A), Hesselvall E. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:31, 2 - 0, Svensson E. (G), Koukkula O. (A),
10:30, 3 - 0, Thuvik H. (G), Nylund J. (A), Vainikka V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
11:07, 4 - 0, Tulus N. (G), Vainikka V. (A),

Preview

Brynas leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brynäs won 4.

Brynäs is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Luleå has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Brynäs has had a series of away games.

Recently, Luleå has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Brynäs will win today's game, with odds of 2.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brynäs won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 41:58. (average 2.1:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Brynäs won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 2.4:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Brynas W	7	7	0	0	0	25:5	21
2	Lulea W	6	3	1	0	2	11:15	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brynäs IF Dam
Swedish SDHL Women
13.03.26	Luleå - Brynäs	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Luleå - Brynäs	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Skellefteå - Brynäs	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Skellefteå - Brynäs	5:3 ✺
04.03.26	Brynäs - Skellefteå	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWLW
- Luleå HF Women
Swedish SDHL Women
13.03.26	Luleå - Brynäs	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Luleå - Brynäs	2:3 ✺
06.03.26	Luleå - Djurgårdens	5:0 ✺
04.03.26	Luleå - Djurgårdens	5:1 ✺
02.03.26	Luleå - Djurgårdens	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish SDHL Women
13.03.26	Luleå - Brynäs	1:2
11.03.26	Luleå - Brynäs	2:3
29.12.25	Brynäs - Luleå	2:3
18.12.25	Luleå - Brynäs	0:4
26.10.25	Brynäs - Luleå	5:2
21.09.25	Luleå - Brynäs	2:1 OT
31.01.25	Brynäs - Luleå	1:5

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