Match Info

SDHL Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Coop Norrbotten Arena (Luleå)


	Luleå		Djurgårdens

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.65	8.1
	1.32	4.94	6.82
	1.3	5.75	6.88	Watch
	1.3	5	6.5
	1.31	5.3	6.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)	5.33 ↑ (5.14)	7.03 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
70.1%

Draw
17%

Djurgårdens
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

17.9%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

19.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Djurgårdens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luleå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgårdens than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Luleå - Djurgårdens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
18:54, 1 - 0, Fallman J. (G), Mattivi N. (A), Shiga Ak. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
11:40, 2 - 0, Sjolund W. (G), Larsson E. (A),
16:07, 3 - 0, Nieminen P. (G), Rieder E. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
15:21, 4 - 0, Magwood J. (G),
18:39, 5 - 0, Fallman J. (G), Kruse Johansen E. (A),

Preview

Lulea leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 4.

Luleå is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Djurgårdens has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Djurgårdens has had a series of away games.

In this match, Luleå is the clear favorite.

We predict that Luleå will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 60:36. (average 3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Luleå won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:24. (average 3.1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Lulea W	6	3	1	0	2	11:15	11
4	Djurgarden W	5	3	0	0	2	13:11	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luleå HF Women
Swedish SDHL Women
04.03.26	Luleå - Djurgårdens	5:1 ✺
02.03.26	Luleå - Djurgårdens	1:5 ✺
27.02.26	Skellefteå - Luleå	2:5 ✺
25.02.26	Luleå - Skellefteå	3:1 ✺
16.01.26	HV71 - Luleå	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWW
- Djurgardens IF Hockey Women
Swedish SDHL Women
04.03.26	Luleå - Djurgårdens	5:1 ✺
02.03.26	Luleå - Djurgårdens	1:5 ✺
27.02.26	Modo - Djurgårdens	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Modo - Djurgårdens	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Djurgårdens - Modo	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish SDHL Women
04.03.26	Luleå - Djurgårdens	5:1
02.03.26	Luleå - Djurgårdens	1:5
11.01.26	Luleå - Djurgårdens	4:3 penalties
16.11.25	Djurgårdens - Luleå	0:2
03.10.25	Djurgårdens - Luleå	2:3
26.09.25	Luleå - Djurgårdens	4:1
10.01.25	Luleå - Djurgårdens	3:0

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