Match Info

AIHL

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AIHL TV


	Central Coast Rhinos		Melbourne Mustangs

	1	X	2
	2.55	4.45	2.01
	2.44	4.84	2.05
	2.52	5.35	2.06	Watch
	2.5	4.8	1.95
	2.48	4.85	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.71)	4.86 ↓ (5.23)	2.02 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Rhinos
36.4%

Draw
18.7%

Melbourne Mustangs
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

17.8%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

19.1%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Rhinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Melbourne Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Rhinos than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Mustangs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Central Coast Rhinos - Melbourne Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:5

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
02:15, 0 - 1, Timmins S. (G), Caron P. (A), Lindal B. (A2)
09:28, 0 - 2, Burns C. (G), Gaeta D. (A), Lane J. (A2)
10:58, 0 - 3, Gaeta D. (G), Dorsey M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:27, 0 - 4, Warren J. (G), McIntosh C. (A), Lindal B. (A2)
15:39, 0 - 5, McIntosh C. (G), Jones S. (A), Hayden D. (A2)
18:16, 1 - 5, Bastille R. (G), Bouchard D. (A), Malloy R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:36, 1 - 6, Gaeta D. (G), Lindal B. (A), Caron P. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 1.

Central Coast is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Melbourne Mustangs has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Melbourne Mustangs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Melbourne Mustangs has had a series of home games.

Melbourne Mustangs will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:68. (average 3.4:6.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 5:5.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Rhinos
Australian Ice Hockey League
03.05.26	Sydney Ice Dogs - Central Coast Rhinos	3:6 ✺
02.05.26	Central Coast Rhinos - Newcastle North Stars	6:3 ✺
26.04.26	Central Coast Rhinos - Adelaide Adrenaline	4:2 ✺
19.04.26	Central Coast Rhinos - Brisbane Lightning	7:1 ✺
18.04.26	Melbourne Mustangs - Central Coast Rhinos	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WWWWL
- Melbourne Mustangs
Australian Ice Hockey League
03.05.26	Melbourne Mustangs - CBR Brave	5:8 ✺
01.05.26	Melbourne Ice - Melbourne Mustangs	4:5 penalties ✺
26.04.26	Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder	2:7 ✺
25.04.26	Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder	5:2 ✺
18.04.26	Melbourne Mustangs - Central Coast Rhinos	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Ice Hockey League
18.04.26	Melbourne Mustangs - Central Coast Rhinos	8:2
22.06.25	Central Coast Rhinos - Melbourne Mustangs	6:3
31.05.25	Melbourne Mustangs - Central Coast Rhinos	6:2
26.04.25	Central Coast Rhinos - Melbourne Mustangs	1:6
05.04.25	Melbourne Mustangs - Central Coast Rhinos	10:1
11.08.24	Central Coast Rhinos - Melbourne Mustangs	6:5 OT
19.05.24	Melbourne Mustangs - Central Coast Rhinos	14:1

Central Coast Rhinos - Melbourne Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide